Karolina Muchova vs Katerina SiniakovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 3–2
🇨🇿Katerina Siniakova
#87 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Karolina Muchova and Katerina Siniakova have met 2 times since 2020; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai in 2020 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Muchova has taken 3 sets to Siniakova's 2. Their most recent meeting: Karolina Muchova won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muchova | Siniakova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karolina Muchova | Katerina Siniakova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 27/41 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 4/13 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 18/54 | 37% | 13/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 20/38 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 8/8 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 33/35 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 27/35 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muchova 1, Siniakova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muchova
🤖 Servebot
Siniakova
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 728 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 9, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 18, 2020
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muchova | Siniakova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karolina Muchova | Katerina Siniakova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muchova | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.27 | 2.80 |
| ROI % | -10.1% | -18.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.71u | -1.10u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muchova | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Siniakova's 20%).
| Opponent | Muchova | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 36 06 | L 26 46 |
| Naomi Osaka | W 75 16 76 | L 26 75 16 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 46 64 62 | L 36 57 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 64 26 64 | L 61 46 26 |
| Magda Linette | W 61 61 | W 64 63 |
| Madison Keys | L 46 57 | L 16 36 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 62 62 | L |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 64 64 | L 63 36 26 |
| Clara Tauson | W 16 62 64 | W 64 61 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 75 76 | L 75 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Naomi Osaka
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Liudmila Samsonova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Katie Boulter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Katie Boulter
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sinja Kraus
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Magda Linette
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–54 matches
| Metric | Muchova | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 49% |
| Sets won | 68% | 52% |
| Games won | 55% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muchova | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muchova | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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