Karolina Muchova vs Katerina SiniakovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
7w2 meetings · sets 3–2
🇨🇿Katerina Siniakova
#39 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Karolina Muchova and Katerina Siniakova have met 2 times since 2020; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai in 2020 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Muchova has taken 3 sets to Siniakova's 2. Their most recent meeting: Karolina Muchova won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muchova | Siniakova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karolina Muchova | Katerina Siniakova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 25/40 | 80% | 16/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 5/13 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 20/53 | 31% | 12/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 18/34 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 6/9 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 31/34 | 84% | 16/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 84% | 16/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muchova 1, Siniakova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muchova
💥 Big Hitter
Siniakova
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 9, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 18, 2020
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muchova | Siniakova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karolina Muchova | Katerina Siniakova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muchova | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–2 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 1.98 |
| ROI % | +16.3% | -20.9% |
| Units P/L | +1.63u | -1.67u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muchova | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Siniakova's 10%).
| Opponent | Muchova | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Madison Keys | L 46 57 | L 16 36 |
| Clara Tauson | W 16 62 64 | W 64 61 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 75 76 | L 75 46 26 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 36 26 | L 36 46 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 63 64 | L 64 67 57 |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 46 62 75 | L 16 46 |
| Camila Osorio | W 46 62 75 | L 16 46 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 61 26 46 | L 16 46 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 62 16 26 | L 16 62 57 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 64 75 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Barbora Krejcikova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Shuai Zhang
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Anastasia Zakharova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · Semifinals
Jun 26
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Qinwen Zheng
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Liudmila Samsonova
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 21
Jessica Pegula
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rebeka Masarova
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 1st Round
Jun 16
Yue Yuan
Berlin
Jun 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–53 matches
| Metric | Muchova | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 51% |
| Sets won | 67% | 53% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muchova | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muchova | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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