Jessica Pegula vs Katerina SiniakovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
7 meetings · sets 13–4
🇨🇿Katerina Siniakova
#39 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Jessica Pegula and Katerina Siniakova have met 7 times since 2019; Jessica Pegula leads 6–1. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2019 on hard. On grass courts Pegula leads 3–1. On hard courts Pegula leads 3–0. Pegula has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 13 sets to Siniakova's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Siniakova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Katerina Siniakova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 31/57 | 80% | 16/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 35/76 | 31% | 12/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 30/60 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 42/48 | 84% | 16/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 31/48 | 84% | 16/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 4, Siniakova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Siniakova
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Jun 17, 2026
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin
G Grass · 2nd Round
Oct 10, 2025
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 24, 2025
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jun 22, 2024
Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Feb 20, 2022
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 22, 2021
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jul 31, 2019
Washington
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Siniakova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Katerina Siniakova | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 3 or more | 76% | 16/21 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 7/21 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–5 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 1.98 |
| ROI % | +10.4% | -20.9% |
| Units P/L | +2.29u | -1.67u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 12 | 2 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Siniakova's 40%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Amanda Anisimova | W 64 26 76 | L 16 46 |
| Madison Keys | W 76 76 | L 16 36 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 61 63 | W 67 61 61 |
| Simona Waltert | W 63 62 | W 64 76 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 36 | L 16 62 57 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 63 75 | L 64 67 57 |
| Iva Jovic | W 46 63 61 | W 75 63 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 76 | L 36 57 |
| Rebeka Masarova | W 60 60 | W 62 64 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 76 62 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Qinwen Zheng
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Liudmila Samsonova
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 21
Jessica Pegula
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rebeka Masarova
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 1st Round
Jun 16
Yue Yuan
Berlin
Jun 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–76 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 51% |
| Sets won | 66% | 53% |
| Games won | 56% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 4 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Grass | 3 | 1 |
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