Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kamil Majchrzak and Tommy Paul have met 3 times since 2018; Kamil Majchrzak leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Charlottesville in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Majchrzak leads 2–1. Majchrzak has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Majchrzak has taken 4 sets to Paul's 2. Their most recent meeting: Kamil Majchrzak won at Citi Open - Washington (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Majchrzak | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kamil Majchrzak | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 14/22 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 57% | 13/23 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 21/45 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 9/23 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 86% | 18/21 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 16/35 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 18/27 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 14/27 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Majchrzak 2, Paul 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Majchrzak
🤖 Servebot
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 28, 2026
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 3, 2019
Atlanta
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Nov 1, 2018
Charlottesville
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Majchrzak | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kamil Majchrzak | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Majchrzak | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–9 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.30 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | -24.1% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.38u | +0.17u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Majchrzak | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Majchrzak and Paul posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Majchrzak | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 63 75 75 | L 16 26 |
| Arthur Fils | L 26 63 16 | L 76 67 67 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 75 62 | W 63 62 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 36 | W 26 63 63 |
| Learner Tien | W 62 46 62 | L 36 26 |
| Valentin Royer | W 64 75 | W 64 76 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 46 | W 64 63 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 62 26 76 46 36 | W 75 63 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 76 60 | W 62 75 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 46 63 61 | L 75 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Lorenzo Sonego
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Bu Yunchaokete
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Mattia Bellucci
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Alex de Minaur
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
James Duckworth
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Alexander Bublik
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Dino Prizmic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Chak Pong Marco Lam
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–58 matches
| Metric | Majchrzak | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 69% |
| Sets won | 51% | 64% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Majchrzak | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Majchrzak | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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