Jessica Pegula vs Sorana CirsteaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈJessica Pegula
#4 Β· 32 yrs Β· Right-Handed
5w3 meetings Β· sets 6β1

π·π΄Sorana Cirstea
#16 Β· 36 yrs Β· Right-Handed
5wJessica Pegula and Sorana Cirstea have met 3 times since 2021; Jessica Pegula leads 3β0. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2021 on clay. On hard courts Pegula leads 2β0. Pegula has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 6 sets to Cirstea's 1. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 31/51 | 78% | 32/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 27/66 | 30% | 17/57 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 29/53 | 75% | 30/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 9/13 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 39/44 | 93% | 37/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 31/44 | 80% | 32/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 2, Cirstea 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
π The Complete Package
Cirstea
π The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Jessica Pegula and Sorana Cirstea are π The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,208 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 7, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard Β· 4th Round
Aug 19, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard Β· 4th Round
Apr 30, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 17/19 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14β4 | 4β3 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 1.98 |
| ROI % | +4.8% | -20.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.86u | -1.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Cirstea has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Pegula's 40%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 57 26 | W 26 63 75 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 16 64 63 | L 46 46 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 62 63 | W 63 63 |
| Coco Gauff | L 26 46 | L 46 36 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 63 75 | W |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 36 | W 62 76 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 64 60 | W 64 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 64 46 06 | L 57 46 |
| Linda Noskova | L 46 64 36 | L 62 36 67 |
| Kimberly Birrell | L 61 36 36 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York Β· Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 22
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 7
Jasmine Paolini
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 4
Diane Parry
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Julia Grabher
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 19
Anna Kalinskaya
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 17
Nikola Bartunkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 57β66 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 77% | 72% |
| Sets won | 69% | 69% |
| Games won | 57% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.