Jessica Pegula vs Sorana CirsteaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–1
🇷🇴Sorana Cirstea
#17 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
Jessica Pegula and Sorana Cirstea have met 2 times since 2021; Jessica Pegula leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2021 on clay. Pegula has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 4 sets to Cirstea's 1. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 31/57 | 76% | 29/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 35/76 | 32% | 18/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 30/60 | 71% | 27/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 42/48 | 92% | 34/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 31/48 | 78% | 29/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 1, Cirstea 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Cirstea
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Jessica Pegula and Sorana Cirstea are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 19, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 4th Round
Apr 30, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 76% | 16/21 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 7/21 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–5 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | +10.4% | -38.7% |
| Units P/L | +2.29u | -3.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 12 | 3 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Pegula and Cirstea posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Pegula | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 26 46 | L 46 36 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 75 46 64 | L 36 26 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 36 | W 62 76 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 64 60 | W 64 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 64 46 06 | L 57 46 |
| Linda Noskova | L 46 64 36 | L 62 36 67 |
| Kimberly Birrell | L 61 36 36 | W 63 64 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 64 67 60 | W 26 63 75 |
| Emma Raducanu | W 36 76 60 | L 46 26 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | W 46 63 62 | W 61 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Nikola Bartunkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kimberly Birrell
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Sara Bejlek
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Emma Raducanu
The HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Maddison Inglis
The HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–76 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 68% |
| Sets won | 66% | 65% |
| Games won | 56% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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