Jessica Pegula vs Shelby RogersPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5w2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇺🇸Shelby Rogers
Unranked · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
111wJessica Pegula and Shelby Rogers have met 2 times since 2020; Jessica Pegula leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Oracle Challenger Series - Indian Wells in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 2–0. Pegula has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 4 sets to Rogers's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Rogers | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Shelby Rogers | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 31/51 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 27/66 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 29/53 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 9/13 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 39/44 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 31/44 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 2, Rogers 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Rogers
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 27, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 5, 2020
Oracle Challenger Series - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | - |
| ROI % | +4.8% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.86u | - |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 27
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 6
Robin Montgomery
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Qinwen Zheng
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 9
Lisa Pigato
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 7
Marketa Vondrousova
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 2nd Round
Apr 26
Shuai Zhang
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 24
Veronika Kudermetova
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston · 2nd Round
Apr 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–66 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 77% | - |
| Sets won | 69% | - |
| Games won | 57% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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