Jessica Pegula vs Shelby RogersPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇺🇸Shelby Rogers
Unranked · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
105wJessica Pegula and Shelby Rogers have met 2 times since 2020; Jessica Pegula leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Oracle Challenger Series - Indian Wells in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 2–0. Pegula has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 4 sets to Rogers's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Rogers | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Shelby Rogers | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 31/57 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 35/76 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 30/60 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 42/48 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 31/48 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 2, Rogers 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Rogers
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 27, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 5, 2020
Oracle Challenger Series - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | - |
| ROI % | +10.4% | - |
| Units P/L | +2.29u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 11 | — |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | — |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 27
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 6
Robin Montgomery
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Qinwen Zheng
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 9
Lisa Pigato
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 7
Marketa Vondrousova
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 2nd Round
Apr 26
Shuai Zhang
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 24
Veronika Kudermetova
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston · 2nd Round
Apr 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 76–76 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | - |
| Sets won | 66% | - |
| Games won | 56% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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