Elena Rybakina vs Shelby RogersPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#2 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
86 meetings · sets 8–7
🇺🇸Shelby Rogers
Unranked · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
105wElena Rybakina and Shelby Rogers have met 6 times since 2020; Elena Rybakina leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2020 on hard. On grass courts Rybakina leads 3–1. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 8 sets to Rogers's 7. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Wimbledon - London (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Rogers | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Shelby Rogers | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 39/57 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 62% | 8/13 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 26/70 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 37/62 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 5/7 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 46/49 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 39/49 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 1, Rogers 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Rogers
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Elena Rybakina and Shelby Rogers are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,026 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jul 4, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 9, 2022
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jan 7, 2022
Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 2, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Jun 15, 2021
Betti Open - Berlin
G Grass · 1st Round
Sep 2, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–3 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | - |
| ROI % | +6.4% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.90u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Ann Li
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daria Kasatkina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 27
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 6
Robin Montgomery
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Qinwen Zheng
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 9
Lisa Pigato
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 7
Marketa Vondrousova
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 2nd Round
Apr 26
Shuai Zhang
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 24
Veronika Kudermetova
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston · 2nd Round
Apr 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 70–70 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 81% | - |
| Sets won | 73% | - |
| Games won | 58% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 3 | 1 |
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