Jessica Pegula vs Karolina PliskovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 10–3
🇨🇿Karolina Pliskova
#56 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
Jessica Pegula and Karolina Pliskova have met 6 times since 2021; Jessica Pegula leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Qatar Total Open - Doha in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 4–1. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 10 sets to Pliskova's 3. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Pliskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Karolina Pliskova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 31/57 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 35/76 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 30/60 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 42/48 | 88% | 14/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 31/48 | 75% | 12/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 4, Pliskova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Pliskova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Aug 7, 2024
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 19, 2021
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jun 17, 2021
Betti Open - Berlin
G Grass · 2nd Round
Mar 28, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Mar 10, 2021
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Mar 4, 2021
Qatar Total Open - Doha
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Pliskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Karolina Pliskova | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 76% | 16/21 | 64% | 7/11 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 7/21 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–5 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | +10.4% | -13.6% |
| Units P/L | +2.29u | -1.50u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 12 | 3 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Pliskova's 40%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | W 75 46 64 | L 16 36 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 61 63 | W 46 63 75 |
| Madison Keys | W 76 76 | L 36 36 |
| Donna Vekic | W 46 62 63 | L 46 64 36 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 60 62 | W 67 63 64 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 76 62 | L 16 76 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 62 36 46 | L 06 26 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 64 61 | W 67 76 64 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 75 36 63 | W 61 63 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 62 61 | L 64 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Oleksandra Oliynykova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Iga Swiatek
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Tereza Valentova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Marie Bouzkova
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · Semifinals
Jun 20
Talia Gibson
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Caty Mcnally
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–76 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 61% |
| Sets won | 66% | 58% |
| Games won | 56% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 3 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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