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Head-to-Head

Jessica Pegula vs Karolina PliskovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Jessica Pegula

🇺🇸Jessica Pegula

#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed

5w
5–1

6 meetings · sets 10–3

Karolina Pliskova

🇨🇿Karolina Pliskova

#49 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed

6w

Jessica Pegula and Karolina Pliskova have met 6 times since 2021; Jessica Pegula leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Qatar Total Open - Doha in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 4–1. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 10 sets to Pliskova's 3. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2024).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorPegulaPliskova
Wins in straight sets61%60%
Wins a set when losing47%25%
Goes to a deciding set41%34%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite55%38%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog58%56%
Tiebreak sets won69%70%
Wins after taking set 189%93%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 170%86%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 4, Pliskova 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Pegula

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer
vs

Pliskova

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.

The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.

Previous meetings

6 career meetings, newest first

Aug 7, 2024

National Bank Open - Toronto

H Hard · 2nd Round

75
64
Pegula

Aug 19, 2021

Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati

H Hard · 3rd Round

46
657
Pliskova

Jun 17, 2021

Betti Open - Berlin

G Grass · 2nd Round

75
62
Pegula

Mar 28, 2021

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 3rd Round

61
46
64
Pegula

Mar 10, 2021

Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai

H Hard · 3rd Round

60
62
Pegula

Mar 4, 2021

Qatar Total Open - Doha

H Hard · Quarterfinals

63
61
Pegula

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomePegulaPliskova
1 or more95%100%
3 or more90%60%
5 or more37%40%
10 or more0%0%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricPegulaPliskova
W-L14–42–3
Avg odds1.482.73
ROI %+4.8%-35.6%
Units P/L+0.86u-1.78u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Pliskova's 40%).

OpponentPegulaPliskova
Diana Shnaider
L
36
36
L
16
67
Iga Swiatek
W
75
46
64
L
16
36
Amanda Anisimova
W
64
26
76
W
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
W
61
63
W
46
63
75
Madison Keys
W
76
76
L
36
36
Donna Vekic
W
46
62
63
L
46
64
36
Mccartney Kessler
W
60
62
W
67
63
64
Anastasia Potapova
W
76
62
L
16
76
36
Elena Rybakina
L
62
36
46
L
06
26
Jaqueline Cristian
W
64
61
W
67
76
64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Pegula
LWWWWWLW
L

Aryna Sabalenka

U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals

57
26

Sep 10

W

Emma Navarro

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

36
64
63

Sep 9

W

Sorana Cirstea

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

63
64

Sep 7

W

Leylah Fernandez

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

16
64
63

Sep 4

W

Sofia Kenin

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

63
61

Sep 2

W

Elena Gabriela Ruse

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

63
62

Aug 30

L

Coco Gauff

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final

26
46

Aug 24

W

Iga Swiatek

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals

75
46
64

Aug 22

Pliskova
LWLLWLWL
L

Diana Shnaider

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

16
647

Sep 2

W

Hanne Vandewinkel

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

26
75
63

Aug 30

L

Sara Bejlek

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

06
26

Aug 14

L

Mirra Andreeva

National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round

06
26

Aug 5

W

Oleksandra Oliynykova

National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round

64
64

Aug 3

L

Iga Swiatek

Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round

16
36

Jul 2

W

Tereza Valentova

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

63
64

Jun 30

L

Marie Bouzkova

Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · Semifinals

46
16

Jun 20

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ PegulaPegula ahead↓ Pliskova

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–66 matches

MetricPegulaPliskova
Matches won77%63%
Sets won69%57%
Games won57%49%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StagePegulaPliskova
WTA 50020
WTA 100031

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfacePegulaPliskova
Hard41
Grass10

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Jessica Pegula vs Karolina Pliskova FAQ

Jessica Pegula leads the head-to-head 5–1 over 6 meetings.