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Head-to-Head

Jelena Ostapenko vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Jelena Ostapenko

🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko

#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed

2–3

5 meetings · sets 6–7

Jessica Pegula

🇺🇸Jessica Pegula

#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed

Jelena Ostapenko and Jessica Pegula have met 5 times since 2015; Jessica Pegula leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Quebec City in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 3–2. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 6 sets to Pegula's 7. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorOstapenkoPegula
Wins in straight sets68%54%
Wins a set when losing53%47%
Goes to a deciding set41%46%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite55%50%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog60%63%
Tiebreak sets won50%63%
Wins after taking set 170%88%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 165%65%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 1, Pegula 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Ostapenko

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer
vs

Pegula

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

5 career meetings, newest first

Mar 9, 2026

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · 3rd Round

64
36
26
Pegula

Oct 4, 2023

China Open - Beijing

H Hard · 3rd Round

64
62
Ostapenko

Feb 15, 2023

Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha

H Hard · 2nd Round

26
62
57
Pegula

Mar 3, 2021

Qatar Total Open - Doha

H Hard · 2nd Round

26
57
Pegula

Sep 17, 2015

Quebec City

H Hard · Round of 16

36
62
7763
Ostapenko

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeOstapenkoPegula
1 or more100%95%
3 or more86%76%
5 or more57%33%
10 or more0%5%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricOstapenkoPegula
W-L5–217–5
Avg odds1.741.48
ROI %-7.7%+10.4%
Units P/L-0.54u+2.29u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricOstapenkoPegula
Countries13
Events13
Matches112
Distance0 mi · 0 km761 mi · 1,225 km
RoutePOLAUT → CAN → POL

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Ostapenko's 50%).

OpponentOstapenkoPegula
Sorana Cirstea
L
16
67
W
62
46
75
Magdalena Frech
L
16
36
W
36
63
62
Simona Waltert
W
62
75
W
63
62
Alexandra Eala
W
64
75
L
64
46
06
Anna Kalinskaya
W
61
62
W
63
75
Aryna Sabalenka
L
46
46
W
64
67
60
Zeynep Sonmez
W
63
60
W
64
60
Anastasia Potapova
L
64
46
46
W
76
62
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
W
75
64
W
16
61
76
Hailey Baptiste
L
36
46
W
64
46
76

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Ostapenko
LLWWWWWL
L

Magdalena Frech

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

16
36

Aug 15

L

Aryna Sabalenka

Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round

46
46

Jul 3

W

Antonia Ruzic

Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round

62
60

Jul 1

W

Harriet Dart

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

63
36
64

Jun 29

W

Zeynep Sonmez

Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals

63
60

Jun 25

W

Panna Udvardy

Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round

36
61
62

Jun 24

W

Francesca Jones

Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round

62
62

Jun 22

L

Magda Linette

French Open - Paris · 2nd Round

26
62
26

May 27

Pegula
LWWWWWLW
L

Coco Gauff

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final

26
46

Aug 24

W

Iga Swiatek

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals

75
46
64

Aug 22

W

Amanda Anisimova

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

64
26
764

Aug 20

W

Sorana Cirstea

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

62
46
75

Aug 19

W

Emma Navarro

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

75
62

Aug 18

W

Simona Waltert

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

63
62

Aug 15

L

Diana Shnaider

National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round

36
36

Aug 8

W

Kamilla Rakhimova

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

64
60

Aug 6

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ OstapenkoPegula ahead↓ Pegula

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–76 matches

MetricOstapenkoPegula
Matches won56%75%
Sets won56%66%
Games won52%56%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageOstapenkoPegula
WTA 50002
WTA 25010
WTA 100011

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceOstapenkoPegula
Hard23

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Jelena Ostapenko vs Jessica Pegula FAQ

Jessica Pegula leads the head-to-head 3–2 over 5 meetings.