Jasmine Paolini vs Peyton StearnsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นJasmine Paolini
#33 ยท 30 yrs ยท Right-Handed
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0

๐บ๐ธPeyton Stearns
#37 ยท 24 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Jasmine Paolini and Peyton Stearns have met 1 time since 2025; Jasmine Paolini leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 2 sets to Stearns's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Stearns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Peyton Stearns | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 10/20 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/39 | 35% | 17/48 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 10/30 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 14% | 1/7 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 10/18 | 70% | 19/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 1, Stearns 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
๐น Frontrunner
Stearns
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐น Frontrunner vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 15, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay ยท Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2โ2 | 7โ7 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 1.76 |
| ROI % | -36.5% | -15.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.46u | -2.22u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 8,184 mi ยท 13,171 km |
| Route | ROU | UKR โ ROU โ CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Paolini and Stearns posted a 44% win rate.
| Opponent | Paolini | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Daria Snigur | L 63 67 26 | W 64 60 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 76 64 | L 46 63 36 |
| Iva Jovic | L 26 67 | L 46 26 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 61 62 | W 63 61 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 46 36 | L 36 36 |
| Solana Sierra | L 63 46 36 | L 57 57 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 16 | L 57 36 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 63 16 62 | W 76 75 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 62 63 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Han Shi
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Viktorija Golubic
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Liudmila Samsonova
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara ยท Semifinals
Sep 19
Iva Jovic
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara ยท Final
Sep 19
Sloane Stephens
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Diane Parry
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara ยท 2nd Round
Sep 15
Emiliana Arango
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara ยท 1st Round
Sep 13
Harriet Dart
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 39โ48 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 52% |
| Sets won | 48% | 54% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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