Jasmine Paolini vs Peyton StearnsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8w1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇺🇸Peyton Stearns
#54 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
Jasmine Paolini and Peyton Stearns have met 1 time since 2025; Jasmine Paolini leads 1–0. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 2 sets to Stearns's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Stearns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Peyton Stearns | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 14/26 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 17/45 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 12/33 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 6/12 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 90% | 18/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 75% | 15/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 1, Stearns 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Stearns
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 15, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Paolini | Stearns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jasmine Paolini | Peyton Stearns | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | +35.3% | -35.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.12u | -3.22u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Paolini and Stearns posted a 56% win rate.
| Opponent | Paolini | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Sakkari | W 61 62 | W 63 61 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 76 64 | W 76 64 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 46 36 | L 36 36 |
| Solana Sierra | L 63 46 36 | L 57 57 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 63 60 | W 63 63 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 16 | L 57 36 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 63 16 62 | W 76 75 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 62 63 | W 64 62 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 76 36 46 | L 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Clara Tauson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Harriet Dart
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Elena Gabriela Ruse
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Elvina Kalieva
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Tatiana Prozorova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mary Stoiana
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Kimberly Birrell
Eastbourne
Jun 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–45 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 51% |
| Sets won | 53% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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