Jasmine Paolini vs Mirra AndreevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8w3 meetings · sets 3–4
🇷🇺Mirra Andreeva
#5 · 19 yrs · Right-Handed
Jasmine Paolini and Mirra Andreeva have met 3 times since 2024; Mirra Andreeva leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2024 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 3 sets to Andreeva's 4. Their most recent meeting: Mirra Andreeva won at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Andreeva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Mirra Andreeva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 14/26 | 74% | 31/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 17/45 | 36% | 21/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 12/33 | 56% | 29/52 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 6/12 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 83% | 34/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 76% | 31/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 1, Andreeva 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Andreeva
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 821 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 16, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jun 6, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Semifinals
Apr 29, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Paolini | Andreeva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jasmine Paolini | Mirra Andreeva | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 7–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 1.38 |
| ROI % | +35.3% | -15.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.12u | -1.65u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Andreeva has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Paolini's 40%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| Marta Kostyuk | L 36 26 | L 64 06 26 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 61 62 | W 60 64 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 76 64 | W 61 46 60 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 62 75 | W 64 62 |
| Solana Sierra | L 63 46 36 | W 60 60 |
| Coco Gauff | L 36 26 | L 64 26 46 |
| Elise Mertens | L 64 67 36 | W 63 63 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 57 36 | W 64 76 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 36 62 64 | L 76 36 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 26 | L 57 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Janice Tjen
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Karolina Pliskova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Barbora Krejcikova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Magda Linette
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–58 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 72% |
| Sets won | 53% | 69% |
| Games won | 52% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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