Iga Swiatek vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#8 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
13 meetings · sets 17–13
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula have met 13 times since 2019; Iga Swiatek leads 7–6. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2019 on hard. On hard courts they are level 5–5. On clay courts Swiatek leads 2–0. 3 of their meetings have been finals, with Swiatek leading those 2–1. Across all meetings Swiatek has taken 17 sets to Pegula's 13. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Swiatek | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Iga Swiatek | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 34/43 | 54% | 31/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 65% | 11/17 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/60 | 46% | 35/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 33/58 | 50% | 30/60 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/1 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 5/7 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 38/44 | 88% | 42/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 34/44 | 65% | 31/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 9 of 13 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Swiatek 6, Pegula 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
13 career meetings, newest first
Aug 22, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Semifinals
May 13, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jun 28, 2025
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass · Final
Sep 4, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 6, 2023
WTA Finals - Cancun
H Hard · Final
Aug 12, 2023
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 18, 2023
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · Final
Jan 6, 2023
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 15, 2022
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 7, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 1, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 31, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 1, 2019
Washington
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Swiatek | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Iga Swiatek | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 3 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 33% | 7/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 5% | 1/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–3 | 17–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.24 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.87u | +2.29u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 9 | 11 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 761 mi · 1,225 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | AUT → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Swiatek and Pegula posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 46 26 | L 26 46 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 76 46 26 | W 64 26 76 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W 63 62 | W 62 46 75 |
| Emma Navarro | L 57 62 36 | W 75 62 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 63 16 63 | W 62 64 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 62 61 | L 36 36 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 36 61 62 | L 16 46 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 67 26 | L 64 46 06 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 61 16 61 | W 63 75 |
| Madison Keys | W 61 62 | W 76 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Maria Sakkari
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–76 matches
| Metric | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 75% |
| Sets won | 69% | 66% |
| Games won | 60% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 2 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
| WTA Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 2 | 3 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 5 | 5 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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