Iga Swiatek vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#9 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
13 meetings · sets 17–13
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5wIga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula have met 13 times since 2019; Iga Swiatek leads 7–6. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2019 on hard. On hard courts they are level 5–5. On clay courts Swiatek leads 2–0. 3 of their meetings have been finals, with Swiatek leading those 2–1. Across all meetings Swiatek has taken 17 sets to Pegula's 13. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Swiatek | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Iga Swiatek | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 33/42 | 61% | 31/51 |
| Wins a set when losing | 63% | 10/16 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 19/58 | 41% | 27/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 32/56 | 55% | 29/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/1 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 6/9 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 37/43 | 89% | 39/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 33/43 | 70% | 31/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 9 of 13 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Swiatek 6, Pegula 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,208 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
13 career meetings, newest first
Aug 22, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Semifinals
May 13, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jun 28, 2025
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass · Final
Sep 4, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 6, 2023
WTA Finals - Cancun
H Hard · Final
Aug 12, 2023
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 18, 2023
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · Final
Jan 6, 2023
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 15, 2022
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 7, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 1, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 31, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 1, 2019
Washington
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Swiatek | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Iga Swiatek | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 13/17 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 90% | 17/19 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–3 | 14–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.22 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | +1.3% | +4.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.24u | +0.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Pegula's 50%).
| Opponent | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Iva Jovic | W 61 63 | W 46 63 61 |
| Donna Vekic | W 46 76 62 | W 46 62 63 |
| Emma Navarro | L 57 62 36 | W 36 64 63 |
| Coco Gauff | L 46 26 | L 26 46 |
| Elena Rybakina | W | L 62 36 46 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 76 46 26 | W 64 26 76 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 63 16 63 | W 62 64 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 62 61 | L 36 36 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 36 61 62 | L 16 46 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 67 26 | L 64 46 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Iva Jovic
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Donna Vekic
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Xinyu Gao
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Marie Bouzkova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Nadia Podoroska
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Xiyu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–66 matches
| Metric | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 77% |
| Sets won | 70% | 69% |
| Games won | 60% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 2 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
| WTA Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 2 | 3 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 5 | 5 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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