Holger Rune vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Holger Rune and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 3 times since 2022; Holger Rune leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2022 on clay. On hard courts Rune leads 2–0. Rune has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rune leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Rune has taken 7 sets to Tsitsipas's 1. Their most recent meeting: Holger Rune won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rune | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Holger Rune | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 2/4 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 1/2 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 3/6 | 27% | 13/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 2/5 | 50% | 17/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 1/1 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 1/3 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 77% | 24/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rune 2, Tsitsipas 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rune
💥 Big Hitter
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 11, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Oct 23, 2022
Stockholm Open - Stockholm
H Hard · Final
May 30, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 4th Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rune | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 17–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 1.76 |
| ROI % | -17.5% | +19.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.70u | +4.58u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rune | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Rune and Tsitsipas posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Rune | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 67 63 64 | W 46 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniel Altmaier
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Kyrian Jacquet
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Grigor Dimitrov
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Iliyan Radulov
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · Quarterfinals
Oct 17
Marton Fucsovics
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · 2nd Round
Oct 16
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 4th Round
Oct 7
Luciano Darderi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Kimmer Coppejans
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Valentin Vacherot
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yoshihito Nishioka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alex Molcan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Norbert Gombos
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 6–58 matches
| Metric | Rune | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 62% |
| Sets won | 60% | 60% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rune | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rune | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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