Holger Rune vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Holger Rune and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 3 times since 2022; Holger Rune leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2022 on clay. On hard courts Rune leads 2–0. Rune has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rune leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Rune has taken 7 sets to Tsitsipas's 1. Their most recent meeting: Holger Rune won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rune | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Holger Rune | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 6/8 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 2/4 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 4/12 | 27% | 11/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 6/12 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 58% | 7/12 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 17% | 1/6 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 7/8 | 92% | 23/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 6/8 | 76% | 19/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rune 2, Tsitsipas 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rune
🎯 Baseliner
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 11, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Oct 23, 2022
Stockholm Open - Stockholm
H Hard · Final
May 30, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 4th Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rune | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.87 |
| ROI % | - | -8.5% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.28u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rune | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Rune and Tsitsipas posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Rune | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Jenson Brooksby | L 36 36 | W 64 76 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 64 67 63 | W 64 76 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 36 67 | L 57 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 64 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · Quarterfinals
Oct 17
Marton Fucsovics
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · 2nd Round
Oct 16
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 4th Round
Oct 7
Ugo Humbert
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Sebastian Baez
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Jenson Brooksby
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Sep 28
Ethan Quinn
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Sep 27
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Jenson Brooksby
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Valentin Royer
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Martin Damm
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex de Minaur
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Final
Jul 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–46 matches
| Metric | Rune | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 57% |
| Sets won | 64% | 57% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rune | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rune | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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