Gael Monfils vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Gael Monfils and Matteo Berrettini have met 4 times since 2019; Matteo Berrettini leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Berrettini leads 4–0. Berrettini has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Monfils has taken 4 sets to Berrettini's 10. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Monfils | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gael Monfils | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 3/4 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 57% | 4/7 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 5/11 | 33% | 13/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 2/3 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 5/8 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 2/4 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 50% | 3/6 | 89% | 16/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 3/6 | 78% | 14/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Monfils 0, Berrettini 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Monfils
🤖 Servebot
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Gael Monfils and Matteo Berrettini are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 25, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 25, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 3, 2021
ATP Cup - Melbourne
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 4, 2019
US Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Monfils | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gael Monfils | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 15 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 11% | 1/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Monfils | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–3 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.13 | 1.82 |
| ROI % | +14.8% | -25.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.74u | -2.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Monfils | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | — | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Monfils and Berrettini posted a 20% win rate.
| Opponent | Monfils | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | W 26 61 62 60 | L 67 16 |
| Learner Tien | L 36 46 36 | L 75 26 36 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 36 46 | L 67 46 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 46 46 | W 64 64 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 36 36 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rinky Hijikata
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Hugo Gaston
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 23
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round
Apr 7
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Stan Wawrinka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 15–50 matches
| Metric | Monfils | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 33% | 58% |
| Sets won | 42% | 57% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Monfils | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Cup | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Monfils | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
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