Gael Monfils vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทGael Monfils
#307 ยท 39 yrs ยท R
4 meetings ยท sets 4โ10

๐ฎ๐นMatteo Berrettini
#43 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
Gael Monfils and Matteo Berrettini have met 4 times since 2019; Matteo Berrettini leads 4โ0. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Berrettini leads 4โ0. Berrettini has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Monfils has taken 4 sets to Berrettini's 10. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Monfils | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gael Monfils | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 3/4 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 57% | 4/7 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 5/11 | 28% | 11/40 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 2/3 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 5/8 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 2/4 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 50% | 3/6 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 3/6 | 79% | 15/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Monfils 0, Berrettini 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Monfils
๐ค Servebot
Berrettini
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Gael Monfils and Matteo Berrettini are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 25, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Jan 25, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Feb 3, 2021
ATP Cup - Melbourne
H Hard ยท Round Robin
Sep 4, 2019
US Open
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Monfils | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1โ2 | 4โ3 |
| Avg odds | 2.85 | 1.85 |
| ROI % | +19.0% | +2.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.57u | +0.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Monfils | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Berrettini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (25% vs Monfils's 0%).
| Opponent | Monfils | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Learner Tien | L 36 60 36 | L 75 26 36 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 36 46 | L 67 46 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 46 46 | W 64 64 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 36 36 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rinky Hijikata
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Hugo Gaston
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 25
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid ยท 1st Round
Apr 23
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท 2nd Round
Apr 7
Tallon Griekspoor
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท 1st Round
Apr 5
Felix Auger-Aliassime
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells ยท 2nd Round
Mar 6
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris ยท 4th Round
Jun 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 13โ48 matches
| Metric | Monfils | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 31% | 56% |
| Sets won | 42% | 56% |
| Games won | 48% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Monfils | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Cup | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Monfils | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
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