Francisco Cerundolo vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francisco Cerundolo and Tomas Machac have met 2 times since 2020; Tomas Machac leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Prague II Challenger in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Machac leads 2–0. Machac has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Cerundolo has taken 1 sets to Machac's 4. Their most recent meeting: Tomas Machac won at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cerundolo | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francisco Cerundolo | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 22/30 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 6/18 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 14/48 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 17/27 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 11/20 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 22/32 | 63% | 5/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cerundolo 0, Machac 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 8, 2026
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 23, 2020
Prague II Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cerundolo | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francisco Cerundolo | Tomas Machac | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | +14.1% | -56.4% |
| Units P/L | +2.12u | -4.51u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Cerundolo and Machac posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bublik | L 46 26 | L 46 67 |
| Zhizhen Zhang | W 63 76 63 | W 16 76 62 |
| Arthur Gea | L 76 46 06 | L 36 46 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 61 75 | W 76 67 64 |
| Jaume Munar | L 16 46 36 | W 64 64 |
| Tommy Paul | W 67 64 63 | W 26 63 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 75 06 26 | L 46 26 26 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 67 46 | L 75 46 26 75 26 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 75 64 | W 64 76 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 63 76 63 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jakub Mensik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Botic van de Zandschulp
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Casper Ruud
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Mert Alkaya
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Yanki Erel
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Zhizhen Zhang
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yannick Hanfmann
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–60 matches
| Metric | Cerundolo | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 48% |
| Sets won | 60% | 48% |
| Games won | 54% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cerundolo | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cerundolo | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.