Francisco Cerundolo vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francisco Cerundolo and Lorenzo Sonego have met 3 times since 2023; Francisco Cerundolo leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Cerundolo has taken 5 sets to Sonego's 4. Their most recent meeting: Francisco Cerundolo won at Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cerundolo | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francisco Cerundolo | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 12/46 | 36% | 13/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 17/28 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 9/18 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 9/17 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 21/31 | 53% | 9/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cerundolo 0, Sonego 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lorenzo Sonego.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 25, 2024
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 24, 2023
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 28, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cerundolo | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francisco Cerundolo | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | +9.4% | -18.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.85u | -2.92u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | MEX → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Sonego's 50%).
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | W 76 76 | W 61 76 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 75 | W 64 64 67 76 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 75 16 76 | L 62 67 46 |
| Tommy Paul | W 67 64 63 | L 36 26 46 |
| Mariano Navone | W 63 64 | W 76 26 64 |
| Arthur Fery | W 76 36 64 | W 64 62 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 67 62 | W 76 61 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 67 46 | L 36 36 46 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 61 75 | L 62 36 16 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 75 06 26 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Jaume Munar
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tommy Paul
HSBC Championships - London · Final
Jun 21
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 20
Arthur Fery
HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Jenson Brooksby
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 17
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Juncheng Shang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Joel Schwaerzler
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–54 matches
| Metric | Cerundolo | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 47% |
| Sets won | 59% | 46% |
| Games won | 53% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cerundolo | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cerundolo | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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