Frances Tiafoe vs Rei SakamotoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Frances Tiafoe and Rei Sakamoto have met 1 time since 2026; Frances Tiafoe leads 1–0. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 3 sets to Sakamoto's 0. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Sakamoto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Rei Sakamoto | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 20/33 | 63% | 29/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 5/14 | 25% | 6/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 18/47 | 33% | 23/70 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 15/28 | 47% | 23/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 10/20 | 51% | 20/39 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 27/28 | 90% | 37/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 20/28 | 71% | 29/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Sakamoto
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 3, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tiafoe | Sakamoto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frances Tiafoe | Rei Sakamoto | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 89% | 16/18 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 85% | 17/20 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 45% | 9/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 25% | 5/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 5% | 1/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.04 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | +15.9% |
| Units P/L | +4.21u | +3.19u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Sakamoto's 44%).
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 46 57 | L 67 46 |
| Kei Nishikori | W 64 64 | W 64 76 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 67 76 63 67 46 | L 62 46 46 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 76 64 76 | L 76 36 16 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 62 62 | W 64 67 64 36 64 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 63 64 | L 26 67 |
| Jaime Faria | W 46 67 76 61 62 | L 67 64 36 46 |
| Zachary Svajda | W 64 36 75 | W 76 61 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 36 76 | W 64 36 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Kei Nishikori
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Alex de Minaur
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Andrey Rublev
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Marco Trungelliti
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Kyrian Jacquet
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Seongchan Hong
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Anton Shepp
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NZL-JPN 1-3 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Ji Sung Nam
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Matchup videos
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–74 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 64% |
| Sets won | 63% | 58% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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