Ben Shelton vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ben Shelton and Frances Tiafoe have met 5 times since 2023; Ben Shelton leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Shelton leads 3–1. Shelton has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Shelton leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Shelton has taken 12 sets to Tiafoe's 6. Their most recent meeting: Ben Shelton won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shelton | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ben Shelton | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 16/32 | 61% | 20/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 52% | 26/50 | 38% | 18/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 14/40 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 22/39 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 23/30 | 96% | 27/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 16/30 | 71% | 20/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shelton 1, Tiafoe 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shelton
🤖 Servebot
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Sep 11, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Semifinals
Jul 25, 2025
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 30, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Apr 7, 2024
US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston
C Clay · Final
Sep 5, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shelton | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ben Shelton | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 89% | 16/18 |
| 5 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 56% | 10/18 |
| 10 or more | 26% | 5/19 | 17% | 3/18 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shelton | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–6 | 13–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.54 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | +9.9% | +23.4% |
| Units P/L | +2.08u | +4.21u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shelton | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Shelton's 60%).
| Opponent | Shelton | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Altmaier | W 63 76 | W 61 63 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 75 46 36 | W 76 46 76 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 46 | L 46 67 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 67 75 26 | L 36 46 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 64 64 76 | W 64 62 64 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 63 57 76 75 | W 67 76 64 67 64 |
| Martin Damm | W 64 46 64 | W 64 46 36 63 64 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 63 76 | W 75 63 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 64 67 57 | W 63 64 |
| Learner Tien | W 62 63 | W 64 46 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Gea
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Daniel Altmaier
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Jiri Lehecka
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 13
Frances Tiafoe
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Stefanos Tsitsipas
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Kei Nishikori
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–65 matches
| Metric | Shelton | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 71% |
| Sets won | 61% | 63% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shelton | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shelton | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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