Ben Shelton vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ben Shelton and Frances Tiafoe have met 4 times since 2023; Ben Shelton leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Shelton leads 2–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Shelton leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Shelton has taken 9 sets to Tiafoe's 5. Their most recent meeting: Ben Shelton won at Citi Open - Washington (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shelton | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ben Shelton | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 15/31 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 9/16 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 53% | 25/47 | 41% | 19/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 13/37 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 21/36 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 15/28 | 63% | 17/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shelton 1, Tiafoe 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shelton
🤖 Servebot
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 25, 2025
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 30, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Apr 7, 2024
US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston
C Clay · Final
Sep 5, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shelton | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ben Shelton | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 60% | 12/20 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 6/18 | 10% | 2/20 |
| 15 or more | 22% | 4/18 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shelton | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | 15–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 1.92 |
| ROI % | +14.8% | +31.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.67u | +6.20u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shelton | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Shelton's 60%).
| Opponent | Shelton | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | W 63 76 | W 75 63 |
| Learner Tien | W 62 63 | W 64 46 64 |
| Jaime Faria | L 46 46 | W 46 67 76 61 62 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 75 63 | W 63 64 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 63 61 | W 76 46 76 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 63 75 | W 64 62 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 76 67 67 | W 64 64 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 64 67 46 | W 61 63 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 64 67 57 | W 36 63 76 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | W 46 63 64 | W 64 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · Final
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Jakub Mensik
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 10
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Jenson Brooksby
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Alejandro Tabilo
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–56 matches
| Metric | Shelton | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 66% |
| Sets won | 60% | 59% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shelton | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shelton | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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