Frances Tiafoe vs Mitchell KruegerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Frances Tiafoe and Mitchell Krueger have met 5 times since 2015; Frances Tiafoe leads 5–0. Their first meeting came at Savannah in 2015 on clay. On clay courts Tiafoe leads 3–0. On hard courts Tiafoe leads 2–0. Tiafoe has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 10 sets to Krueger's 1. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at Sarasota (2017).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Krueger | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Mitchell Krueger | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 19/46 | 41% | 19/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 36% | 10/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 22% | 5/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 84% | 16/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 17/27 | 58% | 11/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 4, Krueger 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Krueger
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 554 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Apr 9, 2017
Sarasota
C Clay · Round of 32
Jul 22, 2016
Lexington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 7, 2016
Winnetka
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 17, 2016
Tallahassee
C Clay · Round of 16
Apr 18, 2015
Savannah
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tiafoe | Krueger | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frances Tiafoe | Mitchell Krueger | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 20/20 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 19/20 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 12/20 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 2/20 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–5 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 1.55 |
| ROI % | +31.0% | -44.9% |
| Units P/L | +6.20u | -4.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 1 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Krueger's 50%).
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Felix Auger Aliassime | W 63 64 | W 61 63 |
| Zachary Svajda | W 64 36 75 | L 36 62 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Alex Martinez
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Gavin Young
Futures 2026
Jul 10
Gavin Young
M25 Dallas · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Oliver Okonkwo
M25 Dallas · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Ivan Mitric
Futures 2026
Jul 8
Aleksandar Mitric
M25 Dallas · 1st Round
Jul 8
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Cary challenger
Jun 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–56 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 46% |
| Sets won | 59% | 46% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 5 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
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