Frances Tiafoe vs Mattia BellucciPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Frances Tiafoe and Mattia Bellucci have met 2 times since 2024; Frances Tiafoe leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2024 on clay. Tiafoe has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 5 sets to Bellucci's 2. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 20/33 | 71% | 25/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 5/14 | 33% | 9/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 18/47 | 31% | 19/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 15/28 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | 61% | 19/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 10/20 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 27/28 | 86% | 30/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 20/28 | 71% | 25/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 1, Bellucci 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Bellucci
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 26, 2026
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 27, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tiafoe | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frances Tiafoe | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 89% | 16/18 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.04 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | -10.8% |
| Units P/L | +4.21u | -1.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 10 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 927 mi · 1,492 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Bellucci's 60%).
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 64 67 | W 62 67 61 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 64 64 | W 75 67 62 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 57 36 75 63 76 | L 26 16 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 64 | L 06 16 16 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 75 63 | L 36 46 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 63 64 | W 64 16 75 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 76 46 76 | L 57 62 67 |
| Zachary Svajda | W 64 36 75 | W 76 76 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 64 67 67 64 36 | W 76 61 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 64 64 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Kei Nishikori
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alexandre Muller
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Elias Ymer
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · Final
Oct 4
Yanki Erel
Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Adam Walton
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alexandre Muller
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Keisuke Saitoh
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–66 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 55% |
| Sets won | 63% | 53% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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