Frances Tiafoe vs Mattia BellucciPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Frances Tiafoe and Mattia Bellucci have met 2 times since 2024; Frances Tiafoe leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2024 on clay. Tiafoe has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 5 sets to Bellucci's 2. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 68% | 19/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 19/46 | 31% | 17/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 59% | 19/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 17/27 | 63% | 19/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 1, Bellucci 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Bellucci
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 26, 2026
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 27, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tiafoe | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frances Tiafoe | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 20/20 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 19/20 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 12/20 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 2/20 | 29% | 4/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–5 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 2.37 |
| ROI % | +31.0% | +11.2% |
| Units P/L | +6.20u | +1.57u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Bellucci's 67%).
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | W 75 63 | L 36 46 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 63 64 | W 64 16 75 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 76 46 76 | L 57 62 67 |
| Zachary Svajda | W 64 36 75 | W 76 76 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 64 67 67 64 36 | W 76 61 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 64 | L 75 57 57 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 64 64 | W 76 63 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 76 26 16 | W 75 67 62 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 67 76 64 67 64 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Luciano Darderi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Martin Landaluce
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Jakub Mensik
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Zachary Svajda
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Sebastian Baez
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Ugo Humbert
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Alexander Bublik
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–57 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 49% |
| Sets won | 59% | 48% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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