Frances Tiafoe vs Marin CilicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Frances Tiafoe and Marin Cilic have met 2 times since 2017; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Laver Cup in 2017 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 2 sets to Cilic's 3. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Marin Cilic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 25% | 5/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 19/46 | 26% | 10/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 17/27 | 78% | 14/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 0, Cilic 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 5, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 8, 2017
Laver Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tiafoe | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frances Tiafoe | Marin Cilic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 58% | 11/19 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 2/19 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–4 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | +37.9% | -34.5% |
| Units P/L | +7.20u | -2.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Cilic's 50%).
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | W 75 63 | W 26 64 76 |
| Learner Tien | W 64 46 64 | W 75 76 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | W 64 75 | W 76 61 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 63 62 | L 16 26 46 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 64 | L 67 67 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 61 63 | L 26 36 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 36 63 76 | L 67 36 |
| Nuno Borges | W 64 64 | W 36 76 63 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 36 64 76 | W 64 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 26 | L 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Nuno Borges
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Denis Shapovalov
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–56 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 48% |
| Sets won | 59% | 48% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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