Frances Tiafoe vs Karen KhachanovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈFrances Tiafoe
#10 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
3 meetings Β· sets 3β9

π·πΊKaren Khachanov
#27 Β· 30 yrs Β· R
Frances Tiafoe and Karen Khachanov have met 3 times since 2018; Karen Khachanov leads 3β0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2018 on grass. On grass courts Khachanov leads 2β0. Khachanov has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 3 sets to Khachanov's 9. Their most recent meeting: Karen Khachanov won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Karen Khachanov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 20/33 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 5/14 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 18/47 | 49% | 17/35 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 15/28 | 21% | 6/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 10/20 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 27/28 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 20/28 | 47% | 8/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
π₯ Big Hitter
Khachanov
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π€ Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 20, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Jul 2, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass Β· 3rd Round
Jul 7, 2018
Wimbledon
G Grass Β· Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tiafoe | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frances Tiafoe | Karen Khachanov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 89% | 16/18 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13β5 | 8β5 |
| Avg odds | 2.04 | 1.94 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | +12.5% |
| Units P/L | +4.21u | +1.62u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi Β· 1,758 km | 663 mi Β· 1,067 km |
| Route | JPN β CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Khachanov's 40%).
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 64 64 | W 63 64 64 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 67 76 64 67 64 | L 67 26 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | W 63 64 | W 63 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 46 | L 36 67 67 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 57 36 75 63 76 | W 46 64 63 57 63 |
| Learner Tien | W 64 46 64 | W 75 46 67 61 64 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 36 76 | L 75 36 67 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L | L 57 26 |
| Terence Atmane | L 64 36 46 | L 46 67 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 62 76 | L 60 67 76 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 9
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 2nd Round
Oct 2
Kei Nishikori
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York Β· Semifinals
Sep 11
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 6
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 5
Adrian Mannarino
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 3rd Round
Oct 11
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 9
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 2
Felix Auger-Aliassime
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York Β· Semifinals
Sep 11
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 49β63 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 53% |
| Sets won | 63% | 54% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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