Frances Tiafoe vs Karen KhachanovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Frances Tiafoe and Karen Khachanov have met 3 times since 2018; Karen Khachanov leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2018 on grass. On grass courts Khachanov leads 2–0. Khachanov has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 3 sets to Khachanov's 9. Their most recent meeting: Karen Khachanov won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Karen Khachanov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 19/46 | 53% | 17/32 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 15% | 4/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 18% | 3/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 17/27 | 36% | 5/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Khachanov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 20, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jul 2, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Jul 7, 2018
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tiafoe | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frances Tiafoe | Karen Khachanov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 20/20 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 19/20 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 12/20 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 2/20 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–5 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 1.47 |
| ROI % | +31.0% | -59.0% |
| Units P/L | +6.20u | -4.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 2 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Khachanov's 22%).
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 36 76 | L 75 36 67 |
| Terence Atmane | L 64 36 46 | L 46 67 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 62 76 | L 60 67 76 26 26 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 76 26 16 | W 63 64 64 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 67 67 | L 36 46 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 76 46 76 | L 46 67 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 62 | L 67 46 |
| Marton Fucsovics | L 63 16 57 | W 62 46 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 46 57 | L 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Flavio Cobolli
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Yannick Hanfmann
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Billy Harris
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Ethan Quinn
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Jesper de Jong
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–56 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 44% |
| Sets won | 59% | 49% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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