Frances Tiafoe vs Grigor DimitrovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Frances Tiafoe and Grigor Dimitrov have met 4 times since 2018; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Laver Cup in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Tiafoe leads 2–1. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 6 sets to Dimitrov's 7. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at US Open (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Dimitrov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Grigor Dimitrov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 20/33 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 5/14 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 18/47 | 33% | 9/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 15/28 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 10/20 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 27/28 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 20/28 | 57% | 8/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 0, Dimitrov 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Dimitrov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 4, 2024
US Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 9, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Jan 15, 2019
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Sep 8, 2018
Laver Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tiafoe | Dimitrov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frances Tiafoe | Grigor Dimitrov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 89% | 16/18 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.04 | 1.39 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | -50.6% |
| Units P/L | +4.21u | -3.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Dimitrov's 25%).
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 64 67 | L 36 36 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 57 36 75 63 76 | L 75 46 46 |
| Martin Damm | W 64 46 36 63 64 | L 67 67 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 36 64 76 | L 63 36 26 46 |
| Terence Atmane | L 64 36 46 | W 64 57 64 |
| Nuno Borges | W 64 64 | L 46 26 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 76 46 76 | W 76 46 75 63 |
| Jaime Faria | W 46 67 76 61 62 | L 63 57 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Kei Nishikori
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Edas Butvilas
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Holger Rune
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Elmer Moller
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Timofey Skatov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Lorenzo Giustino
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–63 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 42% |
| Sets won | 63% | 46% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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