Frances Tiafoe vs Grigor DimitrovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Frances Tiafoe and Grigor Dimitrov have met 4 times since 2018; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Laver Cup in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Tiafoe leads 2–1. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 6 sets to Dimitrov's 7. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at US Open (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Dimitrov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Grigor Dimitrov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 19/46 | 32% | 7/22 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 17/27 | 55% | 6/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 0, Dimitrov 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Dimitrov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 4, 2024
US Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 9, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Jan 15, 2019
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Sep 8, 2018
Laver Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tiafoe | Dimitrov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frances Tiafoe | Grigor Dimitrov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 20/20 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 19/20 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 12/20 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 2/20 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 8% | 1/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–5 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 1.69 |
| ROI % | +31.0% | -3.7% |
| Units P/L | +6.20u | -0.48u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 1 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Dimitrov's 50%).
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Terence Atmane | L 64 36 46 | W 64 57 64 |
| Nuno Borges | W 64 64 | L 46 26 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 76 46 76 | W 76 46 75 63 |
| Jaime Faria | W 46 67 76 61 62 | L 63 57 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Dalibor Svrcina
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Arthur Fery
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Matteo Berrettini
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Jakub Mensik
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Dane Sweeny
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–56 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 41% |
| Sets won | 59% | 45% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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