Flavio Cobolli vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Flavio Cobolli and Tommy Paul have met 2 times since 2024; Flavio Cobolli leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Cobolli leads 2–0. Cobolli has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Cobolli has taken 4 sets to Paul's 2. Their most recent meeting: Flavio Cobolli won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cobolli | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Flavio Cobolli | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 15/28 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 18% | 4/22 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 17/50 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 11/30 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 12/18 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 12/23 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 23/25 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 15/25 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cobolli 0, Paul 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cobolli
🤖 Servebot
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 20, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 12, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cobolli | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Flavio Cobolli | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cobolli | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | -0.6% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.07u | +0.17u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cobolli | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Cobolli's 40%).
| Opponent | Cobolli | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | W 63 62 | W 62 62 |
| Adrian Mannarino | L 16 64 36 | W 62 26 64 |
| Learner Tien | L 36 62 710 | L 36 26 |
| Arthur Fils | L 36 46 | L 76 67 67 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 16 64 46 76 16 | W 46 76 64 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 61 46 63 | L 75 46 46 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 26 46 | W 61 36 75 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 76 63 | W 26 63 63 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 26 67 | W 75 46 76 |
| Zachary Svajda | W 62 63 67 76 | W 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Adrian Mannarino
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Learner Tien
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Tristan Schoolkate
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Francisco Comesana
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Alexander Bublik
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Dino Prizmic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Chak Pong Marco Lam
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–65 matches
| Metric | Cobolli | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 69% |
| Sets won | 55% | 64% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cobolli | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cobolli | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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