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Head-to-Head

Flavio Cobolli vs Matteo ArnaldiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Flavio Cobolli

🇮🇹Flavio Cobolli

#6 · 24 yrs · R

4
2–3

5 meetings · sets 7–8

Matteo Arnaldi

🇮🇹Matteo Arnaldi

#34 · 25 yrs · R

Flavio Cobolli and Matteo Arnaldi have met 5 times since 2021; Matteo Arnaldi leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Napoli 2 Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Arnaldi leads 3–2. Across all meetings Cobolli has taken 7 sets to Arnaldi's 8. Their most recent meeting: Flavio Cobolli won at French Open - Paris (2025).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorCobolliArnaldi
Wins in straight sets57%41%
Wins a set when losing9%58%
Goes to a deciding set28%58%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite37%24%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog61%63%
Tiebreak sets won54%60%
Wins after taking set 192%87%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 162%47%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cobolli 0, Arnaldi 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Cobolli

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Arnaldi

⚙️ Grinder

Relentless consistencyDeep court positioningHigh rally toleranceMental fortitude

Matchup analysis

The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Flavio Cobolli.

Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.

Previous meetings

5 career meetings, newest first

May 29, 2025

French Open - Paris

C Clay · 2nd Round

63
63
667
61
Cobolli

Jul 26, 2023

Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag

C Clay · 2nd Round

36
657
Arnaldi

Aug 1, 2022

Cordenons Challenger

C Clay · 1st Round

36
75
36
Arnaldi

May 26, 2022

Vicenza Challenger

C Clay · 2nd Round

46
64
46
Arnaldi

Oct 13, 2021

Napoli 2 Challenger

C Clay · 2nd Round

61
36
62
Cobolli

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeCobolliArnaldi
1 or more100%100%
3 or more88%91%
5 or more75%73%
10 or more31%27%
15 or more6%9%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricCobolliArnaldi
W-L9–53–5
Avg odds2.291.87
ROI %+36.9%-33.3%
Units P/L+5.17u-2.66u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricCobolliArnaldi
Countries22
Events22
Matches53
Distance712 mi · 1,146 km712 mi · 1,146 km
RouteCAN → USACAN → USA

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Arnaldi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Cobolli's 50%).

OpponentCobolliArnaldi
Rafael Jodar
W
46
76
63
L
16
64
36
Yannick Hanfmann
L
67
67
L
76
46
46
Alex de Minaur
W
75
76
63
W
46
76
64
Frances Tiafoe
L
26
67
W
76
67
36
76
64
Alexander Zverev
L
16
64
46
76
16
L
46
46
Raphael Collignon
L
57
36
W
64
67
57
64
76
Jaume Munar
W
16
76
75
W
63
36
63
Vit Kopriva
W
63
62
W
26
63
62
Luca Nardi
L
26
36
W
60
67
63
Andrey Rublev
W
76
63
L
46
26
36

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Cobolli
LWWWLLLW
L

Arthur Fils

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals

36
46

Aug 22

W

Rafael Jodar

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

46
763
63

Aug 19

W

Alexander Blockx

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

75
46
75

Aug 17

W

Miomir Kecmanovic

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

61
46
63

Aug 15

L

Yannick Hanfmann

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

657
627

Aug 5

L

Roman Andres Burruchaga

Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round

26
46

Jul 15

L

Arthur Fery

Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals

46
647
06

Jul 8

W

Alex de Minaur

Wimbledon - London · 4th Round

75
764
63

Jul 6

Arnaldi
LLWLWLLW
L

Martin Landaluce

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

46
64
46

Aug 15

L

Tallon Griekspoor

National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round

63
46
36

Aug 7

W

Fabian Marozsan

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

75
26
64

Aug 6

L

Damir Dzumhur

Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals

657
764
647

Jul 16

W

Federico Agustin Gomez

Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round

63
57
63

Jul 15

L

Quentin Halys

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

63
16
657
36

Jun 30

L

Giles Hussey

Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round

46
26

Jun 23

W

Matteo Berrettini

Roland Garros · Quarterfinals

75
52

Jun 3

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ CobolliArnaldi ahead↓ Arnaldi

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–63 matches

MetricCobolliArnaldi
Matches won59%50%
Sets won54%49%
Games won50%49%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageCobolliArnaldi
Grand Slam10
ATP World Tour 25001
ATP Challenger Tour12

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceCobolliArnaldi
Clay23

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Flavio Cobolli vs Matteo Arnaldi FAQ

Matteo Arnaldi leads the head-to-head 3–2 over 5 meetings.