Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jack DraperPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฆFelix Auger-Aliassime
#4 ยท 26 yrs ยท R
8w3 meetings ยท sets 3โ5

๐ฌ๐งJack Draper
#141 ยท 24 yrs ยท L
3Felix Auger-Aliassime and Jack Draper have met 3 times since 2022; Jack Draper leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Draper leads 2โ1. Across all meetings Auger-Aliassime has taken 3 sets to Draper's 5. Their most recent meeting: Felix Auger-Aliassime won at Davis Cup, Group D, Manchester (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Auger-Aliassime | Draper | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Felix Auger-Aliassime | Jack Draper | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 26/37 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 3/15 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 14/52 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 24/44 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 20/32 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 30/32 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 100% | 6/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Auger-Aliassime 1, Draper 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Auger-Aliassime
๐ค Servebot
Draper
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 15, 2024
Davis Cup, Group D, Manchester
H Hard ยท Rubber 2
Aug 16, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Aug 31, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Auger-Aliassime | Draper | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Felix Auger-Aliassime | Jack Draper | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 10 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ4 | 3โ3 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.37 |
| ROI % | -9.3% | -34.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.12u | -2.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 2 |
| Distance | โ | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km |
| Route | โ | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Draper has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Auger-Aliassime's 20%).
| Opponent | Auger-Aliassime | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Terence Atmane | L 36 61 36 | L 36 62 26 |
| Novak Djokovic | L 67 63 36 76 67 | W 46 64 76 |
| Gabriel Diallo | W 67 63 63 | W 61 64 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 26 | L 16 57 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 36 46 | L 57 76 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Michael Zheng
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Dino Prizmic
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Frances Tiafoe
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Learner Tien
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท 2nd Round
Jun 17
Nuno Borges
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท 1st Round
Jun 15
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Ugo Humbert
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท Semifinals
Jun 26
Gabriel Diallo
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Jack Pinnington Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 2nd Round
Jun 24
Marcos Giron
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Reilly Opelka
Miami Open - Miami ยท 2nd Round
Mar 20
Daniil Medvedev
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells ยท Quarterfinals
Mar 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 14โ66 matches
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 57% |
| Sets won | 66% | 56% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Auger-Aliassime | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Auger-Aliassime | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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