Federico Coria vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Federico Coria and Matteo Berrettini have met 4 times since 2017; Matteo Berrettini leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at San Benedetto in 2017 on clay. On clay courts Berrettini leads 4–0. Berrettini has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Coria has taken 0 sets to Berrettini's 9. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at Argentina Open - Buenos Aires (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Coria | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Federico Coria | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 4/6 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 1/8 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 3/14 | 28% | 11/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/2 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 30% | 3/10 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 4/4 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 6/7 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 4/7 | 79% | 15/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Coria 0, Berrettini 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Coria
⚔️ The Gladiator
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 927 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matteo Berrettini.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 10, 2026
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 3, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Sep 16, 2020
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jul 19, 2017
San Benedetto
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Coria | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Federico Coria | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 29% | 2/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Coria | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.91 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -9.0% | -6.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.72u | -0.37u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Coria | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Berrettini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Coria's 0%).
| Opponent | Coria | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Taro Daniel | L 06 26 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francesco Forti
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Taro Daniel
Bastad
Jul 12
Noah Thurner
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Guy Den Ouden
Liege Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Oliver Bonding
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Oliver Bonding
Wimbledon
Jun 22
Nicolas Kicker
Asuncion Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–48 matches
| Metric | Coria | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 56% |
| Sets won | 42% | 56% |
| Games won | 47% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Coria | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Coria | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 4 |
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