Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Federico CoriaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Federico Coria have met 5 times since 2019; Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Buenos Aires in 2019 on clay. On clay courts Carabelli leads 4–0. Carabelli has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Carabelli leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 8 sets to Coria's 2. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at Movistar Chile Open - Santiago (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Coria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Federico Coria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 6/22 | 13% | 1/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/43 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 13/28 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 14/16 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 57% | 4/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 4, Coria 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Coria
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 646 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 28, 2025
Movistar Chile Open - Santiago
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Feb 4, 2024
Piracicaba Challenger
C Clay · Final
Nov 13, 2023
Montevideo Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 22, 2023
US Open
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 12, 2019
Buenos Aires
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Coria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Federico Coria | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | 2.91 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | -9.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.58u | -0.72u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Carabelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Coria's 0%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| Matteo Berrettini | W 76 64 | L 57 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Pablo Carreno Busta
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Marko Topo
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Francesco Forti
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Taro Daniel
Bastad
Jul 12
Noah Thurner
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Guy Den Ouden
Liege Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Oliver Bonding
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Oliver Bonding
Wimbledon
Jun 22
Nicolas Kicker
Asuncion Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–47 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 43% |
| Sets won | 47% | 42% |
| Games won | 48% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 4 | 0 |
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