Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Facundo Diaz Acosta
#82 · 25 yrs · L
4wTitle3 meetings · sets 2–4
🇦🇷Sebastian Baez
#50 · 25 yrs · R
Facundo Diaz Acosta and Sebastian Baez have met 3 times since 2024; Sebastian Baez leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Cordoba Open - Cordoba in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Baez leads 2–0. Across all meetings Acosta has taken 2 sets to Baez's 4. Their most recent meeting: Facundo Diaz Acosta won at ASB Classic - Auckland (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Diaz Acosta | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 35/57 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 31/79 | 22% | 13/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 27/61 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 2/7 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 17/28 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 40/47 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 35/47 | 76% | 26/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Diaz Acosta 1, Baez 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Acosta
⚔️ The Gladiator
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 321 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sebastian Baez.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 8, 2025
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 22, 2024
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 9, 2024
Cordoba Open - Cordoba
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Acosta | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 20/22 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 11/22 | 29% | 6/21 |
| 5 or more | 9% | 2/22 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Acosta | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–5 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | -1.1% | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.25u | +1.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Acosta | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 4 |
| Matches | 3 | 9 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 3,066 mi · 4,934 km |
| Route | SMR | CAN → USA → MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Acosta and Baez posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Acosta | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Learner Tien | L 57 64 63 67 36 | L 36 67 |
| Vilius Gaubas | W 62 63 | L 57 16 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 36 57 | L 16 26 |
| Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | W 64 64 | W 62 76 |
| Zhizhen Zhang | W 61 64 63 | W 26 63 64 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 46 46 | L 62 57 26 02 |
| Chun-Hsin Tseng | W 76 64 | W 63 62 |
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | W 36 76 62 | L 67 46 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 67 36 | W 76 61 |
| Cristian Garin | L 62 36 36 | W 76 16 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Vilius Gaubas
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Forti
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Tommaso Compagnucci
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Bublik
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Federico Cina
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 20
Lautaro Midon
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–81 matches
| Metric | Acosta | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 55% |
| Sets won | 65% | 53% |
| Games won | 56% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Acosta | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Acosta | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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