Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Facundo Diaz Acosta and Sebastian Baez have met 3 times since 2024; Sebastian Baez leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Cordoba Open - Cordoba in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Baez leads 2–0. Across all meetings Acosta has taken 2 sets to Baez's 4. Their most recent meeting: Facundo Diaz Acosta won at ASB Classic - Auckland (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Diaz Acosta | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 33/53 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 8/21 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 28/74 | 23% | 14/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 26/57 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 2/7 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 15/28 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 39/45 | 83% | 29/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 33/45 | 74% | 26/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Diaz Acosta 1, Baez 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Acosta
👑 The Complete Package
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 55% vs 🎾 All-Court across 281 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Facundo Diaz Acosta.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 8, 2025
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 22, 2024
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 9, 2024
Cordoba Open - Cordoba
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Acosta | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 68% | 13/19 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 6/15 | 32% | 6/19 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Acosta | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 8–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.76 | 2.43 |
| ROI % | +3.1% | -17.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.46u | -2.95u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Acosta | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 5,144 mi · 8,278 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | POL → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Acosta and Baez posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Acosta | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Jaume Munar | W 46 63 76 | W 64 64 |
| Learner Tien | L 57 64 63 67 36 | L 36 67 |
| Vilius Gaubas | W 62 63 | L 57 16 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 36 57 | L 16 26 |
| Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | W 64 64 | W 62 76 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 46 46 | L 62 57 26 02 |
| Chun-Hsin Tseng | W 76 64 | W 63 62 |
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | W 36 76 62 | L 67 46 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 67 36 | W 76 61 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 75 46 67 | W 76 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniel Elahi Galan
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Dusan Lajovic
Seville Challenger · Final
Sep 13
Jaume Munar
Seville Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Sebastian Ofner
Seville Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Alejandro Moro Canas
Seville Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Pol Martin Tiffon
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Quentin Halys
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Marcos Giron
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 23
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–77 matches
| Metric | Acosta | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 54% |
| Sets won | 64% | 52% |
| Games won | 56% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Acosta | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Acosta | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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