Eva Lys vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇪Eva Lys
#98 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
432 meetings · sets 0–4
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8wEva Lys and Jasmine Paolini have met 2 times since 2025; Jasmine Paolini leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai in 2025 on hard. Paolini has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Lys has taken 0 sets to Paolini's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lys | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Eva Lys | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 7/12 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 11/29 | 38% | 17/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 5/12 | 36% | 12/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 1/3 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 10/14 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 7/14 | 67% | 14/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lys 0, Paolini 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lys
🪃 Counterpuncher
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,501 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jasmine Paolini.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 15, 2025
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 18, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Lys | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Eva Lys | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| 1 or more | 60% | 3/5 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lys | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–4 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.76 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | -58.0% | +35.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.90u | +2.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lys | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Lys's 44%).
| Opponent | Lys | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Sofia Kenin | L 61 36 36 | W 63 60 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 36 26 | W 36 64 64 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 76 63 | W 62 63 |
| Katie Boulter | W 64 36 64 | W 06 63 63 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 26 64 06 | L 26 26 |
| Iva Jovic | W 63 46 75 | L 26 67 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 63 36 46 | W 61 62 |
| Coco Gauff | L 36 46 | L 36 26 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 63 16 64 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Emma Navarro
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 23
Elina Svitolina
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Magdalena Frech
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 1st Round
Jun 16
Sorana Cirstea
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Petra Marcinko
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Naomi Osaka
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 8
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 29–45 matches
| Metric | Lys | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 58% |
| Sets won | 43% | 53% |
| Games won | 47% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lys | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lys | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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