Eva Lys vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇪Eva Lys
#136 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
32 meetings · sets 0–4
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Eva Lys and Jasmine Paolini have met 2 times since 2025; Jasmine Paolini leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai in 2025 on hard. Paolini has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Lys has taken 0 sets to Paolini's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lys | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Eva Lys | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 6/10 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 12/30 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 23% | 3/13 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 1/2 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 46% | 6/13 | 56% | 10/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lys 0, Paolini 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lys
🪃 Counterpuncher
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,750 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jasmine Paolini.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 15, 2025
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 18, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lys | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.62 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | -65.0% | -36.5% |
| Units P/L | -4.55u | -1.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lys | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 11,989 mi · 19,294 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | BRA → POR → ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Lys and Paolini posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Lys | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 06 | L 36 36 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 76 63 | W 62 63 |
| Talia Gibson | L 26 63 06 | L 57 62 16 |
| Katie Boulter | W 64 36 64 | W 06 63 63 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 26 64 06 | L 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Xinran Sun
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Gabriela Ce
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Anna Blinkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 30–39 matches
| Metric | Lys | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 33% | 51% |
| Sets won | 39% | 48% |
| Games won | 44% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lys | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lys | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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