Eva Lys vs Iga SwiatekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇪Eva Lys
#98 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
434 meetings · sets 1–8
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#8 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
Eva Lys and Iga Swiatek have met 4 times since 2022; Iga Swiatek leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart in 2022 on clay. On hard courts Swiatek leads 3–0. Swiatek has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Lys has taken 1 sets to Swiatek's 8. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at United Cup - Australia (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lys | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Eva Lys | Iga Swiatek | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 7/12 | 80% | 35/44 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 11/29 | 33% | 20/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 5/12 | 58% | 34/59 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 1/3 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 10/14 | 87% | 39/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 7/14 | 78% | 35/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lys 0, Swiatek 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lys
🪃 Counterpuncher
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 6,005 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Iga Swiatek.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 5, 2026
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Round Robin
Aug 1, 2025
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 20, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Apr 20, 2022
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Lys | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Eva Lys | Iga Swiatek | ||
| 1 or more | 60% | 3/5 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lys | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–4 | 10–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.76 | 1.24 |
| ROI % | -58.0% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.90u | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lys | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 9 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Lys's 25%).
| Opponent | Lys | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Elina Svitolina | L 36 26 | W 63 16 63 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 57 16 | W 62 61 |
| Emma Navarro | L 67 36 | L 57 62 36 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 06 | W 63 62 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 46 64 36 | W 62 61 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 63 16 64 | L 57 16 |
| Coco Gauff | L 36 46 | L 46 26 |
| Suzan Lamens | W 62 62 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Emma Navarro
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 23
Elina Svitolina
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Magdalena Frech
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 1st Round
Jun 16
Sorana Cirstea
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Petra Marcinko
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Naomi Osaka
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 8
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Maria Sakkari
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 29–61 matches
| Metric | Lys | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 72% |
| Sets won | 43% | 70% |
| Games won | 47% | 60% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lys | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lys | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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