Eva Lys vs Iga SwiatekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇪Eva Lys
#136 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
34 meetings · sets 1–8
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#9 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
Eva Lys and Iga Swiatek have met 4 times since 2022; Iga Swiatek leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart in 2022 on clay. On hard courts Swiatek leads 3–0. Swiatek has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Lys has taken 1 sets to Swiatek's 8. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at United Cup - Australia (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lys | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Eva Lys | Iga Swiatek | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 6/10 | 79% | 33/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 12/30 | 33% | 19/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 23% | 3/13 | 57% | 32/56 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 1/2 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 86% | 37/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 46% | 6/13 | 77% | 33/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lys 0, Swiatek 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lys
🪃 Counterpuncher
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,583 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Iga Swiatek.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 5, 2026
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Round Robin
Aug 1, 2025
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 20, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Apr 20, 2022
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Lys | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Eva Lys | Iga Swiatek | ||
| 1 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 77% | 13/17 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lys | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 15–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.62 | 1.22 |
| ROI % | -65.0% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | -4.55u | +0.24u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lys | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 11,989 mi · 19,294 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | BRA → POR → ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Lys's 14%).
| Opponent | Lys | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Nadia Podoroska | L 57 26 | W 63 62 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 06 26 | L 63 46 36 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 36 26 | W 63 16 63 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 57 16 | W 62 61 |
| Emma Navarro | L 67 36 | L 57 62 36 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 46 64 36 | W 62 61 |
| Suzan Lamens | W 62 62 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Xinran Sun
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Gabriela Ce
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Anna Blinkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Iva Jovic
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Donna Vekic
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Xinyu Gao
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Marie Bouzkova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Nadia Podoroska
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Xiyu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 30–58 matches
| Metric | Lys | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 33% | 72% |
| Sets won | 39% | 70% |
| Games won | 44% | 60% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lys | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lys | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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