Ethan Quinn vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ethan Quinn and Tommy Paul have met 3 times since 2023; Tommy Paul leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Infosys Hall of Fame Open - Newport in 2023 on grass. Paul has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Quinn has taken 1 sets to Paul's 6. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at Hamburg Open - Hamburg (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Quinn | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ethan Quinn | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 15/28 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 5/21 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 18/49 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 9/24 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 14/25 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 14/23 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 18/19 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Quinn 0, Paul 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Quinn
🤖 Servebot
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 17, 2026
Hamburg Open - Hamburg
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 6, 2025
Dallas Open - Dallas
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 19, 2023
Infosys Hall of Fame Open - Newport
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Quinn | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ethan Quinn | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 40% | 4/10 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Quinn | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.04 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | +19.4% | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | +1.75u | +1.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Quinn | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Quinn and Paul posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Quinn | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 62 64 | W 64 67 63 |
| Valentin Royer | W 64 63 | W 64 76 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 36 46 | L 57 67 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 76 75 62 | L 63 36 26 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 36 | W 63 76 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 76 | W 76 63 |
| Casper Ruud | W 64 76 | L 64 76 46 67 57 |
| Reilly Opelka | W 75 76 | W 64 64 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 57 36 | W 62 36 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Luciano Darderi
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Final
Jun 27
Nuno Borges
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Semifinals
Jun 26
Vit Kopriva
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Murphy Cassone
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Valentin Royer
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 22
Ben Shelton
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–55 matches
| Metric | Quinn | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 69% |
| Sets won | 52% | 64% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Quinn | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Quinn | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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