Emma Navarro vs Maria SakkariPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Emma Navarro
#27 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
5w4 meetings · sets 3–7
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#35 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Emma Navarro and Maria Sakkari have met 4 times since 2023; Maria Sakkari leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at San Diego Open - San Diego in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Sakkari leads 3–1. Sakkari has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Navarro has taken 3 sets to Sakkari's 7. Their most recent meeting: Maria Sakkari won at Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Navarro | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emma Navarro | Maria Sakkari | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 14/25 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 32% | 7/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 21/45 | 33% | 15/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 10/27 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 6/12 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 14/22 | 64% | 16/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Navarro 0, Sakkari 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navarro
💥 Big Hitter
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 23, 2025
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 14, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 20, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 14, 2023
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Navarro | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Emma Navarro | Maria Sakkari | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 50% | 7/14 |
| 10 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Navarro | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.41 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | +21.7% | -19.2% |
| Units P/L | +2.17u | -2.69u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Navarro | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km |
| Route | — | SGP → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Navarro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Sakkari's 17%).
| Opponent | Navarro | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Karolina Muchova | W 63 75 | L 63 46 16 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 64 67 64 | L 61 67 26 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 75 26 63 | L 64 16 16 |
| Alina Korneeva | L 26 26 | W 61 75 |
| Paula Badosa | W 46 63 75 | L 36 46 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 61 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Anna Kalinskaya
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Karolina Muchova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Caty Mcnally
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Lois Boisson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anhelina Kalinina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alina Korneeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Storm Hunter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Nao Hibino
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Linda Fruhvirtova
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 22
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Robin Montgomery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–46 matches
| Metric | Navarro | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 52% |
| Sets won | 54% | 51% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Navarro | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Navarro | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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