Emma Navarro vs Maria SakkariPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Emma Navarro
#27 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 3–7
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Emma Navarro and Maria Sakkari have met 4 times since 2023; Maria Sakkari leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at San Diego Open - San Diego in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Sakkari leads 3–1. Sakkari has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Navarro has taken 3 sets to Sakkari's 7. Their most recent meeting: Maria Sakkari won at Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Navarro | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emma Navarro | Maria Sakkari | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 13/25 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 23% | 5/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 23/47 | 30% | 13/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 11/30 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 13/22 | 59% | 13/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Navarro 0, Sakkari 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navarro
🤖 Servebot
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Emma Navarro and Maria Sakkari are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,026 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 23, 2025
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 14, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 20, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 14, 2023
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Navarro | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Emma Navarro | Maria Sakkari | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Navarro | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.86 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | +0.2% | -8.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.03u | -1.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Navarro | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Navarro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Sakkari's 25%).
| Opponent | Navarro | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | W 75 26 63 | L 64 16 16 |
| Alina Korneeva | L 26 26 | W 61 75 |
| Paula Badosa | W 46 63 75 | L 36 46 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 61 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anhelina Kalinina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alina Korneeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Sofia Kenin
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Paula Badosa
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Kamilla Rakhimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Zeynep Sonmez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Final
Jul 19
Alina Korneeva
Athens Open - Athens · Semifinals
Jul 18
Alycia Parks
Athens Open - Athens · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Harriet Dart
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–47 matches
| Metric | Navarro | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 49% |
| Sets won | 52% | 47% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Navarro | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Navarro | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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