Emma Navarro vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈEmma Navarro
#27 Β· 25 yrs Β· Right-Handed
5w3 meetings Β· sets 0β6

π¨π¦Leylah Fernandez
#25 Β· 23 yrs Β· Left-Handed
TitleEmma Navarro and Leylah Fernandez have met 3 times since 2023; Leylah Fernandez leads 3β0. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Fernandez leads 3β0. Fernandez has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Navarro has taken 0 sets to Fernandez's 6. Their most recent meeting: Leylah Fernandez won at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Navarro | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emma Navarro | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 14/25 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 21/45 | 31% | 18/58 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 10/27 | 50% | 20/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 6/12 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 79% | 27/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 14/22 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Navarro 0, Fernandez 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navarro
π₯ Big Hitter
Fernandez
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π€ Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 10, 2025
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Sep 20, 2023
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Mar 11, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Navarro | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Emma Navarro | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 10 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Navarro | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6β4 | 11β5 |
| Avg odds | 2.41 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | +21.7% | +32.2% |
| Units P/L | +2.17u | +5.15u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Navarro | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | β | 3 |
| Events | β | 3 |
| Matches | β | 7 |
| Distance | β | 3,433 mi Β· 5,525 km |
| Route | β | SGP β ROU β CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Navarro and Fernandez posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Navarro | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 63 46 36 | L 61 46 36 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 26 76 62 | W 63 62 |
| Magda Linette | L 63 36 36 | W 61 64 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | W 36 64 61 | W 76 36 61 |
| Janice Tjen | W 64 63 | L 16 67 |
| Eva Lys | W 76 63 | W 64 61 |
| Iva Jovic | L 06 36 | W 36 63 62 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 60 57 62 | L 46 46 |
| Ann Li | W 61 63 | W 63 62 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 36 | L 36 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Anna Kalinskaya
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 7
Karolina Muchova
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 4
Caty Mcnally
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Lois Boisson
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anhelina Kalinina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alina Korneeva
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan Β· 1st Round
Oct 12
Kamilla Rakhimova
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore Β· Final
Sep 27
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore Β· Semifinals
Sep 26
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Alycia Parks
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore Β· 2nd Round
Sep 23
Kyoka Okamura
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore Β· 1st Round
Sep 21
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 45β58 matches
| Metric | Navarro | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 55% |
| Sets won | 54% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Navarro | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Navarro | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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