Emma Navarro vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Emma Navarro
#27 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 0–6
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#32 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
Emma Navarro and Leylah Fernandez have met 3 times since 2023; Leylah Fernandez leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Fernandez leads 3–0. Fernandez has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Navarro has taken 0 sets to Fernandez's 6. Their most recent meeting: Leylah Fernandez won at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Navarro | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emma Navarro | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 13/25 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 23/47 | 31% | 16/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 11/30 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 13/22 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Navarro 0, Fernandez 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navarro
🤖 Servebot
Fernandez
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 10, 2025
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 20, 2023
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · 3rd Round
Mar 11, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Navarro | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Emma Navarro | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Navarro | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.86 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | +0.2% | -8.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.03u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Navarro | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fernandez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Navarro's 50%).
| Opponent | Navarro | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 57 26 | L 26 26 |
| Magda Linette | L 63 36 36 | W 61 64 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | W 36 64 61 | W 76 36 61 |
| Janice Tjen | W 64 63 | L 16 67 |
| Eva Lys | W 76 63 | W 64 61 |
| Iva Jovic | L 06 36 | W 36 63 62 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 60 57 62 | L 46 46 |
| Ann Li | W 61 63 | W 63 62 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 36 | L 36 06 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 67 60 36 | W 62 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anhelina Kalinina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alina Korneeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Sofia Kenin
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Paula Badosa
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Renata Zarazua
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Xi Yao Wang
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–51 matches
| Metric | Navarro | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 49% |
| Sets won | 52% | 49% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Navarro | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Navarro | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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