Elise Mertens vs Sorana CirsteaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐ชElise Mertens
#14 ยท 30 yrs ยท Right-Handed
3 meetings ยท sets 0โ6

๐ท๐ดSorana Cirstea
#16 ยท 36 yrs ยท Right-Handed
5wElise Mertens and Sorana Cirstea have met 3 times since 2018; Sorana Cirstea leads 3โ0. Their first meeting came at Doha in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Cirstea leads 2โ0. Cirstea has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Cirstea leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 0 sets to Cirstea's 6. Their most recent meeting: Sorana Cirstea won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 78% | 32/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 30% | 17/57 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 21/38 | 75% | 30/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 93% | 37/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 80% | 32/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 0, Cirstea 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Cirstea
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 21, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Apr 25, 2021
Istanbul Open - Istanbul
C Clay ยท Final
Feb 14, 2018
Doha
H Hard ยท Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10โ6 | 4โ3 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 1.98 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | -20.0% |
| Units P/L | +3.74u | -1.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 6 | โ |
| Distance | 2,779 mi ยท 4,472 km | โ |
| Route | SGP โ ROU | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Cirstea's 50%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | W 63 63 | L 46 36 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | W 62 36 63 | W 61 76 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 36 63 57 | L 36 64 26 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 46 76 63 | W 63 63 |
| Diane Parry | L 46 60 36 | W 62 75 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | W 16 64 62 | W 76 63 |
| Anna Bondar | W 36 64 64 | W 76 62 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 57 | L 62 36 67 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | L 57 46 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 36 | L 06 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing ยท Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing ยท 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York ยท 4th Round
Sep 7
Jasmine Paolini
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Diane Parry
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 2
Julia Grabher
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 19
Anna Kalinskaya
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Nikola Bartunkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 55โ57 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 72% |
| Sets won | 59% | 69% |
| Games won | 54% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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