Elise Mertens vs Sorana CirsteaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 0–6
🇷🇴Sorana Cirstea
#17 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
Elise Mertens and Sorana Cirstea have met 3 times since 2018; Sorana Cirstea leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Doha in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Cirstea leads 2–0. Cirstea has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Cirstea leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 0 sets to Cirstea's 6. Their most recent meeting: Sorana Cirstea won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 76% | 29/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | 32% | 18/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | 71% | 27/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 92% | 34/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 78% | 29/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 0, Cirstea 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Cirstea
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Elise Mertens and Sorana Cirstea are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 21, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Apr 25, 2021
Istanbul Open - Istanbul
C Clay · Final
Feb 14, 2018
Doha
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | +12.4% | -38.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | -3.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Cirstea's 40%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Nikola Bartunkova | W 16 64 62 | W 76 63 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 26 | L 36 64 26 |
| Anna Bondar | W 36 64 64 | W 76 62 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 57 | L 62 36 67 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | L 57 46 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 36 | L 06 36 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 60 | W 62 60 |
| Coco Gauff | L 62 67 36 | L 46 36 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 61 36 06 | L 26 36 |
| Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova | W 62 61 | W 63 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Nikola Bartunkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kimberly Birrell
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Sara Bejlek
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Emma Raducanu
The HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Maddison Inglis
The HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–56 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 68% |
| Sets won | 58% | 65% |
| Games won | 54% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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