Elise Mertens vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#58 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Elise Mertens and Paula Badosa have met 1 time since 2025; Paula Badosa leads 1–0. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 0 sets to Badosa's 2. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 21/38 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 83% | 20/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 0, Badosa 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Elise Mertens and Paula Badosa are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Feb 18, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | -4.9% |
| Units P/L | +3.74u | -0.64u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | 10,936 mi · 17,599 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU | BRA → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Badosa's 30%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | W 63 63 | L 46 67 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | W 62 36 63 | L 67 57 |
| Daria Kasatkina | L 46 06 | W 46 76 64 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 61 46 63 | W 64 61 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 57 | L 16 36 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 64 64 | L 63 36 46 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 61 | L 36 26 |
| Emma Navarro | W 62 62 | L 64 36 57 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 36 36 | W 26 62 75 |
| Bianca Andreescu | W 61 62 | L 26 63 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Kasatkina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–55 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 60% |
| Sets won | 59% | 59% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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