Elise Mertens vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#83 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5wElise Mertens and Paula Badosa have met 1 time since 2025; Paula Badosa leads 1–0. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 0 sets to Badosa's 2. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 0, Badosa 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Elise Mertens and Paula Badosa are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Feb 18, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | +12.4% | +18.2% |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | +3.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Badosa's 38%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Panna Udvardy | W 61 46 63 | W 64 61 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 57 | L 16 36 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 64 64 | L 63 36 46 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 61 | L 36 26 |
| Emma Navarro | W 62 62 | L 64 36 57 |
| Coco Gauff | L 62 67 36 | W 16 63 62 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 36 36 | W 26 62 75 |
| Bianca Andreescu | W 61 62 | L 26 63 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Mayar Sherif
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Panna Udvardy
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Katarzyna Kawa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 22
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Semifinals
Jul 18
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anhelina Kalinina
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–49 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 59% |
| Sets won | 58% | 59% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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