Elise Mertens vs Karolina PliskovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 4–6
🇨🇿Karolina Pliskova
#49 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
6wElise Mertens and Karolina Pliskova have met 4 times since 2019; Karolina Pliskova leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Eastbourne in 2019 on grass. On clay courts Pliskova leads 2–0. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 4 sets to Pliskova's 6. Their most recent meeting: Karolina Pliskova won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Pliskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Karolina Pliskova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 25% | 3/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 34% | 11/32 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 21/38 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 93% | 13/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 86% | 12/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Pliskova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Pliskova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 26, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Aug 17, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 19, 2020
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jun 27, 2019
Eastbourne
G Grass · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Pliskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Karolina Pliskova | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.73 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | -35.6% |
| Units P/L | +3.74u | -1.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | — |
| Route | SGP → ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Pliskova's 44%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | W 76 63 | L 16 36 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 36 | L 06 26 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 64 64 | L 46 16 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 61 | L 06 26 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 64 | W 61 64 |
| Tereza Valentova | L 46 16 | W 63 64 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 63 36 63 | W |
| Mccartney Kessler | W | W 67 63 64 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 61 36 06 | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Diana Shnaider
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Hanne Vandewinkel
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Oleksandra Oliynykova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Iga Swiatek
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Tereza Valentova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Marie Bouzkova
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · Semifinals
Jun 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–55 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 63% |
| Sets won | 59% | 57% |
| Games won | 54% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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