Elise Mertens vs Karolina PliskovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 4–6
🇨🇿Karolina Pliskova
#56 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
Elise Mertens and Karolina Pliskova have met 4 times since 2019; Karolina Pliskova leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Eastbourne in 2019 on grass. On clay courts Pliskova leads 2–0. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 4 sets to Pliskova's 6. Their most recent meeting: Karolina Pliskova won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Pliskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Karolina Pliskova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 88% | 14/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 75% | 12/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Pliskova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Pliskova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 26, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Aug 17, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 19, 2020
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jun 27, 2019
Eastbourne
G Grass · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Pliskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Karolina Pliskova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 64% | 7/11 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | +12.4% | -13.6% |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | -1.50u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Mertens and Pliskova posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Mertens | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 36 | L 06 26 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 64 64 | L 46 16 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 61 | L 06 26 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 64 | W 61 64 |
| Tereza Valentova | L 46 16 | W 63 64 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 26 46 | W 67 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Oleksandra Oliynykova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Iga Swiatek
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Tereza Valentova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Marie Bouzkova
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · Semifinals
Jun 20
Talia Gibson
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Caty Mcnally
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–49 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 61% |
| Sets won | 58% | 58% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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