Elise Mertens vs Iga SwiatekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 2–4
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#9 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
Elise Mertens and Iga Swiatek have met 3 times since 2024; Iga Swiatek leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart in 2024 on clay. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 2 sets to Swiatek's 4. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at China Open - Beijing (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Iga Swiatek | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 79% | 33/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 33% | 19/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 21/38 | 57% | 32/56 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 86% | 37/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 77% | 33/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Swiatek 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 9, 2026
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 23, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Apr 18, 2024
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Iga Swiatek | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 77% | 13/17 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 15–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 1.22 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | +3.74u | +0.24u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 4 |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Mertens and Swiatek posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Mertens | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Qinwen Zheng | L 57 26 | L 57 36 |
| Coco Gauff | W 63 63 | L 46 26 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 36 63 57 | W 62 61 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 64 64 | W 76 76 |
| Diane Parry | L 46 60 36 | W 63 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 61 | W |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | L 67 26 |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 57 62 67 | W 61 63 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 64 | W 62 63 |
| Emma Navarro | W 62 62 | L 57 62 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Iva Jovic
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Donna Vekic
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Xinyu Gao
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Marie Bouzkova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Nadia Podoroska
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Xiyu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–58 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 72% |
| Sets won | 59% | 70% |
| Games won | 54% | 60% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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