Elise Mertens vs Iga SwiatekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 0–4
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#8 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
Elise Mertens and Iga Swiatek have met 2 times since 2024; Iga Swiatek leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart in 2024 on clay. Swiatek has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 0 sets to Swiatek's 4. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Iga Swiatek | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 80% | 35/44 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | 33% | 20/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | 58% | 34/59 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 87% | 39/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 78% | 35/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 0, Swiatek 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 23, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Apr 18, 2024
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Iga Swiatek | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 10–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 1.24 |
| ROI % | +12.4% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 9 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Swiatek's 50%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Diane Parry | L 46 60 36 | W 63 63 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 26 | W 62 61 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 64 64 | W 62 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 61 | L 57 16 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | L 67 26 |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 57 62 67 | W 61 63 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 64 | W 62 63 |
| Emma Navarro | W 62 62 | L 57 62 36 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 36 | L 63 46 36 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 46 76 63 | L 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Maria Sakkari
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–61 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 72% |
| Sets won | 58% | 70% |
| Games won | 54% | 60% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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