Elena Rybakina vs Shuai ZhangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#1 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–0
🇨🇳Shuai Zhang
#81 · 37 yrs · Right-Handed
6w3Elena Rybakina and Shuai Zhang have met 3 times since 2020; Elena Rybakina leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Hobart International - Hobart in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Rybakina leads 2–0. Rybakina has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rybakina leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 6 sets to Zhang's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Brisbane International - Brisbane (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Shuai Zhang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 40/60 | 70% | 23/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 7/12 | 30% | 9/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 27/72 | 30% | 19/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 39/64 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 47/51 | 91% | 29/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 40/51 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 3, Zhang 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Zhang
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 269 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elena Rybakina.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 6, 2026
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 24, 2020
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 18, 2020
Hobart International - Hobart
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Shuai Zhang | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–2 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 3.35 |
| ROI % | +28.5% | -32.4% |
| Units P/L | +4.85u | -2.27u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Zhang's 30%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 64 57 62 | L 36 46 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 76 63 | L 26 16 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 67 64 76 | L 36 26 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 64 76 | W 62 64 |
| Ann Li | W 62 75 | L 57 36 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 63 63 | W 64 61 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 75 61 | L 36 26 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 46 63 75 | L 57 46 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 46 | L 36 26 |
| Veronika Erjavec | W 62 62 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Maria Timofeeva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 26
Ann Li
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kayla Day
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Jelena Ostapenko
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Yulia Putintseva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–72 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 52% |
| Sets won | 74% | 52% |
| Games won | 58% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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