Elena Rybakina vs Shuai ZhangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฐ๐ฟElena Rybakina
#2 ยท 26 yrs ยท Right-Handed
83 meetings ยท sets 6โ0

๐จ๐ณShuai Zhang
#53 ยท 37 yrs ยท Right-Handed
4Elena Rybakina and Shuai Zhang have met 3 times since 2020; Elena Rybakina leads 3โ0. Their first meeting came at Hobart International - Hobart in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Rybakina leads 2โ0. Rybakina has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rybakina leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 6 sets to Zhang's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Brisbane International - Brisbane (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Shuai Zhang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 39/57 | 67% | 22/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 62% | 8/13 | 27% | 7/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 26/70 | 31% | 18/59 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 37/62 | 50% | 14/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 5/7 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 46/49 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 39/49 | 71% | 22/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 3, Zhang 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
๐ค Servebot
Zhang
๐ฏ Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ๐ฏ Baseliner across 244 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elena Rybakina.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 6, 2026
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Sep 24, 2020
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Jan 18, 2020
Hobart International - Hobart
H Hard ยท Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Shuai Zhang | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11โ3 | 6โ7 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 3.16 |
| ROI % | +6.4% | -9.2% |
| Units P/L | +0.90u | -1.19u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 8 | 5 |
| Distance | 411 mi ยท 662 km | 1,715 mi ยท 2,760 km |
| Route | CAN โ POL | CAN โ POL โ AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Zhang's 30%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Magdalena Frech | W 64 76 | W 62 64 |
| Ann Li | W 62 75 | L 57 36 |
| Coco Gauff | W 57 62 62 | L 36 26 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 36 | L 36 46 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 63 63 | W 64 61 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 75 61 | L 36 26 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 46 63 75 | L 57 46 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 46 | L 36 26 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | L 63 16 67 | L 26 16 |
| Veronika Erjavec | W 62 62 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 20
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท Semifinals
Aug 13
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 9
Ann Li
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daria Kasatkina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Maria Timofeeva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท 1st Round
Aug 26
Ann Li
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kayla Day
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Yulia Putintseva
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Bianca Andreescu
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Bad Homburg WTA
Jun 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 59โ70 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 81% | 56% |
| Sets won | 73% | 54% |
| Games won | 58% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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