Elena Rybakina vs Mirra AndreevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#2 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
84 meetings · sets 5–5
🇷🇺Mirra Andreeva
#5 · 19 yrs · Right-Handed
Elena Rybakina and Mirra Andreeva have met 4 times since 2023; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at China Open - Beijing in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Andreeva leads 2–1. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 5 sets to Andreeva's 5. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Andreeva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Mirra Andreeva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 39/57 | 74% | 31/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 62% | 8/13 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 26/70 | 36% | 21/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 37/62 | 56% | 29/52 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 5/7 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 46/49 | 83% | 34/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 39/49 | 76% | 31/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 1, Andreeva 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Andreeva
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mirra Andreeva.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 18, 2026
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 11, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Feb 21, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 4, 2023
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Andreeva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Mirra Andreeva | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–3 | 7–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 1.38 |
| ROI % | +6.4% | -15.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.90u | -1.65u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 5 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Andreeva's 50%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| Diana Shnaider | W 64 64 | W 63 62 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 63 64 | L 64 06 26 |
| Coco Gauff | W 57 62 62 | L 64 26 46 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 67 64 76 | L 16 46 |
| Karolina Pliskova | W 60 62 | W 60 62 |
| Elise Mertens | L 67 16 | W 63 63 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 64 64 | L 36 46 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 62 46 46 | L 26 46 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 64 61 | W 60 64 |
| Hailey Baptiste | W 76 26 62 | W 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Ann Li
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daria Kasatkina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Janice Tjen
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Karolina Pliskova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Barbora Krejcikova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Magda Linette
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–70 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 81% | 72% |
| Sets won | 73% | 69% |
| Games won | 58% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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