Elena Rybakina vs Marketa VondrousovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#2 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
83 meetings · sets 3–4
🇨🇿Marketa Vondrousova
#153 · 26 yrs · Left-Handed
33wElena Rybakina and Marketa Vondrousova have met 3 times since 2021; Marketa Vondrousova leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Kremlin Cup - Moscow in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Vondrousova leads 2–0. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 3 sets to Vondrousova's 4. Their most recent meeting: Marketa Vondrousova won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Vondrousova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Marketa Vondrousova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 39/57 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Wins a set when losing | 62% | 8/13 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 26/70 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 37/62 | 0% | 0/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 5/7 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 46/49 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 39/49 | 0% | 0/2 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 1, Vondrousova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Vondrousova
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marketa Vondrousova.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 31, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
May 15, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 4th Round
Oct 19, 2021
Kremlin Cup - Moscow
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Vondrousova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–3 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | - |
| ROI % | +6.4% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.90u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Vondrousova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Vondrousova's 33%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Vondrousova |
|---|---|---|
| Magdalena Frech | W 64 76 | L 57 76 67 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 64 46 64 | W 61 46 62 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 75 61 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Ann Li
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daria Kasatkina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Liudmila Samsonova
Adelaide International - Adelaide · 1st Round
Jan 13
Magdalena Frech
Brisbane International - Brisbane · 1st Round
Jan 5
Karolina Muchova
Ningbo Open - Ningbo · 1st Round
Oct 14
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Aug 31
Jasmine Paolini
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Aug 29
Mccartney Kessler
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Oksana Selekhmeteva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 24
Aryna Sabalenka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 4–70 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Vondrousova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 81% | 50% |
| Sets won | 73% | 45% |
| Games won | 58% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Vondrousova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Vondrousova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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