Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa VondrousovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
8 meetings · sets 11–8
🇨🇿Marketa Vondrousova
#153 · 26 yrs · Left-Handed
33wAryna Sabalenka and Marketa Vondrousova have met 8 times since 2018; Aryna Sabalenka leads 5–3. Their first meeting came at Indian Wells in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 4–1. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 11 sets to Vondrousova's 8. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Vondrousova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Marketa Vondrousova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 42/50 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Wins a set when losing | 70% | 7/10 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 41/59 | 0% | 0/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 100% | 1/1 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | 0% | 0/2 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 5 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 3, Vondrousova 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Vondrousova
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Aug 9, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 21, 2025
Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin
G Grass · Semifinals
Apr 19, 2024
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 6, 2023
Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 22, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Mar 29, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 4th Round
Jun 13, 2018
s-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Round of 32
Mar 7, 2018
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Vondrousova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.16 | - |
| ROI % | -26.5% | - |
| Units P/L | -3.97u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Vondrousova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Vondrousova's 67%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Vondrousova |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | W 64 63 | W 64 57 62 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 62 | W 61 46 62 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 63 64 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Liudmila Samsonova
Adelaide International - Adelaide · 1st Round
Jan 13
Magdalena Frech
Brisbane International - Brisbane · 1st Round
Jan 5
Karolina Muchova
Ningbo Open - Ningbo · 1st Round
Oct 14
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Aug 31
Jasmine Paolini
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Aug 29
Mccartney Kessler
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Oksana Selekhmeteva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 24
Aryna Sabalenka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 4–60 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Vondrousova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 50% |
| Sets won | 79% | 45% |
| Games won | 59% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Vondrousova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 2 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Vondrousova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.