Elena Rybakina vs Eva LysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#1 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 3–2
🇩🇪Eva Lys
#136 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
3Elena Rybakina and Eva Lys have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2025 on clay. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 3 sets to Lys's 2. Their most recent meeting: Eva Lys won at China Open - Beijing (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Lys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Eva Lys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 40/60 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 7/12 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 27/72 | 40% | 12/30 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 39/64 | 23% | 3/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 47/51 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 40/51 | 46% | 6/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 1, Lys 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Lys
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,089 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 28, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 9, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Lys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Eva Lys | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Lys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–2 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 2.62 |
| ROI % | +28.5% | -65.0% |
| Units P/L | +4.85u | -4.55u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Lys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 11,989 mi · 19,294 km |
| Route | ROU | BRA → POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Lys's 20%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Lys |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 46 63 75 | L 16 26 |
| Naomi Osaka | W 61 64 | L 46 64 36 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 76 63 | L 16 46 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 75 61 | L 06 26 |
| Iga Swiatek | L | L 63 36 46 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 64 64 | L 57 16 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 64 76 | W 76 63 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 62 46 46 | L 36 26 |
| Katie Boulter | L 57 62 46 | W 64 36 64 |
| Talia Gibson | W 62 62 | L 26 63 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Xinran Sun
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Gabriela Ce
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Anna Blinkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 30–72 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Lys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 33% |
| Sets won | 74% | 39% |
| Games won | 58% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Lys |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Lys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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