Elena Rybakina vs Eva LysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#2 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
82 meetings · sets 3–2
🇩🇪Eva Lys
#98 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
43Elena Rybakina and Eva Lys have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2025 on clay. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 3 sets to Lys's 2. Their most recent meeting: Eva Lys won at China Open - Beijing (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Lys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Eva Lys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 39/57 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 62% | 8/13 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 26/70 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 37/62 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 5/7 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 46/49 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 39/49 | 50% | 7/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 1, Lys 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Lys
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,880 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elena Rybakina.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 28, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 9, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Lys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Eva Lys | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Lys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–3 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 2.76 |
| ROI % | +6.4% | -58.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.90u | -2.90u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Lys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 8 | 1 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Lys's 30%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Lys |
|---|---|---|
| Diana Shnaider | W 64 64 | L 57 16 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 64 76 | W 76 63 |
| Coco Gauff | W 57 62 62 | L 36 46 |
| Naomi Osaka | W 46 76 64 | L 46 64 36 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 62 46 46 | L 36 26 |
| Katie Boulter | L 57 62 46 | W 64 36 64 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | L 63 16 67 | L 16 46 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 63 75 | L 46 36 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 67 64 76 | L 46 16 |
| Paula Badosa | W 63 62 | W 26 75 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Ann Li
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daria Kasatkina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Emma Navarro
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 23
Elina Svitolina
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Magdalena Frech
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 1st Round
Jun 16
Sorana Cirstea
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Petra Marcinko
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Naomi Osaka
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 29–70 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Lys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 81% | 41% |
| Sets won | 73% | 43% |
| Games won | 58% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Lys |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Lys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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