Elena Gabriela Ruse vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐ดElena Gabriela Ruse
#63 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
2 meetings ยท sets 4โ1

๐ฎ๐นJasmine Paolini
#20 ยท 30 yrs ยท Right-Handed
8wElena Gabriela Ruse and Jasmine Paolini have met 2 times since 2021; Elena Gabriela Ruse leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Billie Jean King Cup, PO, ROU-ITA 1-3 in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Ruse leads 2โ0. Ruse has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ruse has taken 4 sets to Paolini's 1. Their most recent meeting: Elena Gabriela Ruse won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gabriela Ruse | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Gabriela Ruse | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 17/23 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 11/41 | 38% | 17/45 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 36% | 12/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 7/14 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 17/22 | 67% | 14/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gabriela Ruse 1, Paolini 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruse
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Paolini
๐น Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐น Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 17, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Apr 17, 2021
Billie Jean King Cup, PO, ROU-ITA 1-3
H Hard ยท Rubber 3
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruse | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Gabriela Ruse | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruse | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ2 | 4โ2 |
| Avg odds | 1.70 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | +16.3% | +35.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.30u | +2.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruse | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 3 | โ |
| Distance | 411 mi ยท 662 km | โ |
| Route | CAN โ POL | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Ruse's 44%).
| Opponent | Ruse | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Anastasia Potapova | L 46 26 | W 67 62 63 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 36 61 64 | W 63 16 62 |
| Elise Mertens | W 63 63 | L 64 67 36 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 46 64 64 | W 75 63 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 62 26 36 | L 75 26 57 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 64 36 57 | L 36 26 |
| Katie Boulter | W 76 76 | W 06 63 63 |
| Ajla Tomljanovic | L 57 26 | W 75 57 61 |
| Sofia Kenin | L 46 64 36 | W 63 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Magda Linette
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Anastasia Potapova
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 4
Peyton Stearns
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Kaitlin Quevedo
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Caty Mcnally
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Karolina Muchova
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg ยท Semifinals
Jun 26
Emma Navarro
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Anna Kalinskaya
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg ยท 2nd Round
Jun 24
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris ยท 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 41โ45 matches
| Metric | Ruse | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 58% |
| Sets won | 55% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruse | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruse | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.