Elena Gabriela Ruse vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇴Elena Gabriela Ruse
#63 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 5–7
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#83 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5wElena Gabriela Ruse and Paula Badosa have met 4 times since 2022; Paula Badosa leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Badosa leads 2–1. Badosa has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Ruse has taken 5 sets to Badosa's 7. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at Austin 125 - Austin (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gabriela Ruse | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Gabriela Ruse | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 17/23 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 11/41 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 7/14 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 17/22 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gabriela Ruse 0, Badosa 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruse
💥 Big Hitter
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Elena Gabriela Ruse and Paula Badosa are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 10, 2026
Austin 125 - Austin
H Hard · 1st Round
May 29, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 30, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 15, 2022
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruse | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Gabriela Ruse | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruse | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–2 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.70 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | +16.3% | +18.2% |
| Units P/L | +1.30u | +3.09u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruse | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruse has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Badosa's 20%).
| Opponent | Ruse | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Emma Navarro | W 64 62 | L 64 36 57 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 75 62 | L 46 26 |
| Linda Noskova | W 61 63 | L 16 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 64 36 57 | L 36 26 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 63 46 60 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Magda Linette
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Anastasia Potapova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Peyton Stearns
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Kaitlin Quevedo
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Caty Mcnally
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Karolina Muchova
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · Semifinals
Jun 26
Emma Navarro
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Anna Kalinskaya
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Mayar Sherif
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Panna Udvardy
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Katarzyna Kawa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 22
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Semifinals
Jul 18
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anhelina Kalinina
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–41 matches
| Metric | Ruse | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 59% |
| Sets won | 55% | 59% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruse | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 125 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruse | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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