Elena Gabriela Ruse vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇴Elena Gabriela Ruse
#57 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 5–7
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#58 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Elena Gabriela Ruse and Paula Badosa have met 4 times since 2022; Paula Badosa leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Badosa leads 2–1. Badosa has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Ruse has taken 5 sets to Badosa's 7. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at Austin 125 - Austin (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gabriela Ruse | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Gabriela Ruse | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 20/32 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 18/53 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 9/21 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 8/14 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 83% | 20/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gabriela Ruse 0, Badosa 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruse
💥 Big Hitter
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Elena Gabriela Ruse and Paula Badosa are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 10, 2026
Austin 125 - Austin
H Hard · 1st Round
May 29, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 30, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 15, 2022
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruse | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Gabriela Ruse | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 4/10 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruse | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | -6.9% | -4.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.62u | -0.64u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruse | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,246 mi · 2,005 km | 10,936 mi · 17,599 km |
| Route | POR → ROU → CZE | BRA → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruse has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Badosa's 30%).
| Opponent | Ruse | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Yulia Putintseva | L | W 61 62 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 62 26 36 | L 67 57 |
| Linda Noskova | L 46 16 | L 16 36 |
| Lilli Tagger | W 64 62 | L 46 67 |
| Eva Lys | W 61 62 | L 62 57 46 |
| Emma Navarro | W 64 62 | L 64 36 57 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 75 62 | L 46 26 |
| Sinja Kraus | L 67 26 | W 75 61 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 64 36 57 | L 36 26 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 36 63 62 | W 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yulia Putintseva
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Linda Noskova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Lilli Tagger
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Anna Bondar
Korea Open - Seoul · Quarterfinals
Sep 26
Yeon Woo Ku
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Eva Lys
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Alexandra Eala
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Kasatkina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–53 matches
| Metric | Ruse | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 60% |
| Sets won | 56% | 59% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruse | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 125 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruse | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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