Elena Gabriela Ruse vs Elena RybakinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐ดElena Gabriela Ruse
#57 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
3 meetings ยท sets 1โ6

๐ฐ๐ฟElena Rybakina
#1 ยท 26 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Elena Gabriela Ruse and Elena Rybakina have met 3 times since 2022; Elena Rybakina leads 3โ0. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2022 on hard. Rybakina has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Ruse has taken 1 sets to Rybakina's 6. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gabriela Ruse | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Gabriela Ruse | Elena Rybakina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 20/32 | 67% | 40/60 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 18/53 | 38% | 27/72 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 9/21 | 61% | 39/64 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 8/14 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 92% | 47/51 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 78% | 40/51 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gabriela Ruse 0, Rybakina 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruse
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Rybakina
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 24, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Mar 25, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruse | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Gabriela Ruse | Elena Rybakina | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 4/10 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 31% | 5/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruse | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ4 | 15โ2 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 1.47 |
| ROI % | -6.9% | +28.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.62u | +4.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruse | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,246 mi ยท 2,005 km | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | POR โ ROU โ CZE | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Ruse's 30%).
| Opponent | Ruse | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Yulia Putintseva | L | W 63 63 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 62 67 61 | W 76 63 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 36 26 | W 26 63 64 |
| Magdalena Frech | L | W 64 76 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 36 61 64 | W 63 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | L | L 57 46 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 46 26 | L 67 46 |
| Elise Mertens | W 63 63 | L 67 16 |
| Caty Mcnally | L 57 36 | W 61 62 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 46 46 | W 75 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yulia Putintseva
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Linda Noskova
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Lilli Tagger
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Anna Bondar
Korea Open - Seoul ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 26
Yeon Woo Ku
Korea Open - Seoul ยท 2nd Round
Sep 24
Eva Lys
Korea Open - Seoul ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 30
Alexandra Eala
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York ยท Final
Sep 12
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York ยท Semifinals
Sep 11
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York ยท 4th Round
Sep 7
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 53โ72 matches
| Metric | Ruse | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 83% |
| Sets won | 56% | 74% |
| Games won | 53% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruse | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruse | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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