Elena Gabriela Ruse vs Elena RybakinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐ดElena Gabriela Ruse
#63 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
3 meetings ยท sets 1โ6

๐ฐ๐ฟElena Rybakina
#2 ยท 26 yrs ยท Right-Handed
8Elena Gabriela Ruse and Elena Rybakina have met 3 times since 2022; Elena Rybakina leads 3โ0. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2022 on hard. Rybakina has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Ruse has taken 1 sets to Rybakina's 6. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gabriela Ruse | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Gabriela Ruse | Elena Rybakina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 17/23 | 68% | 39/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 11/41 | 37% | 26/70 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 60% | 37/62 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 7/14 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 94% | 46/49 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 17/22 | 80% | 39/49 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gabriela Ruse 0, Rybakina 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruse
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Rybakina
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 24, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Mar 25, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruse | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Gabriela Ruse | Elena Rybakina | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruse | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ2 | 11โ3 |
| Avg odds | 1.70 | 1.32 |
| ROI % | +16.3% | +6.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.30u | +0.90u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruse | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 8 |
| Distance | 411 mi ยท 662 km | 411 mi ยท 662 km |
| Route | CAN โ POL | CAN โ POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Ruse's 60%).
| Opponent | Ruse | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Townsend | W 36 61 64 | W 63 64 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 46 26 | L 67 46 |
| Elise Mertens | W 63 63 | L 67 16 |
| Caty Mcnally | L 57 36 | W 61 62 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 46 46 | W 75 61 |
| Linda Noskova | W 61 63 | W 63 64 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 75 64 | W 63 75 |
| Katie Boulter | W 76 76 | L 57 62 46 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 46 16 | W 75 61 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 46 64 64 | W 64 67 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Magda Linette
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Anastasia Potapova
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 4
Peyton Stearns
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Kaitlin Quevedo
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Caty Mcnally
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Karolina Muchova
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg ยท Semifinals
Jun 26
Emma Navarro
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Anna Kalinskaya
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg ยท 2nd Round
Jun 24
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 20
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท Semifinals
Aug 13
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 9
Ann Li
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daria Kasatkina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 41โ70 matches
| Metric | Ruse | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 81% |
| Sets won | 55% | 73% |
| Games won | 52% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruse | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruse | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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