Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iga SwiatekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Ekaterina Alexandrova
#19 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
8 meetings · sets 7–12
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#8 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Iga Swiatek have met 8 times since 2021; Iga Swiatek leads 6–2. Their first meeting came at Gippsland Trophy - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Swiatek leads 4–2. Swiatek has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Swiatek leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Alexandrova has taken 7 sets to Swiatek's 12. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at Korea Open - Seoul (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alexandrova | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Iga Swiatek | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 18/24 | 80% | 35/44 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 19/52 | 33% | 20/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 15/34 | 58% | 34/59 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 20/25 | 87% | 39/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 18/25 | 78% | 35/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alexandrova 2, Swiatek 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alexandrova
🤖 Servebot
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Iga Swiatek.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Sep 21, 2025
Korea Open - Seoul
H Hard · Final
Sep 1, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Jun 26, 2025
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Mar 25, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 4th Round
Feb 14, 2024
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 1, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 4th Round
Oct 8, 2022
Ostrava Open - Ostrava
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 3, 2021
Gippsland Trophy - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alexandrova | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Iga Swiatek | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 10–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.34 | 1.24 |
| ROI % | +9.4% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.32u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 9 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Alexandrova's 30%).
| Opponent | Alexandrova | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 57 63 36 | L 57 64 46 |
| Sara Bejlek | L 64 16 26 | W 60 63 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 63 06 36 | W 63 16 63 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 63 64 | W 62 61 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | L 67 26 |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 16 36 | W 61 63 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 26 26 | W 62 61 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 63 64 | L 63 46 36 |
| Magda Linette | L 26 64 16 | W 64 64 |
| Laura Siegemund | L 46 76 16 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Clara Tauson
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anna Blinkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Talia Gibson
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Iva Jovic
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Maria Sakkari
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–61 matches
| Metric | Alexandrova | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 72% |
| Sets won | 50% | 70% |
| Games won | 50% | 60% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alexandrova | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 3 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alexandrova | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 4 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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