Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iga SwiatekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Ekaterina Alexandrova
#24 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
8 meetings · sets 7–12
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#9 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Iga Swiatek have met 8 times since 2021; Iga Swiatek leads 6–2. Their first meeting came at Gippsland Trophy - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Swiatek leads 4–2. Swiatek has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Swiatek leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Alexandrova has taken 7 sets to Swiatek's 12. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at Korea Open - Seoul (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alexandrova | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Iga Swiatek | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 16/23 | 79% | 33/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 12/27 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 19/50 | 33% | 19/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 12/30 | 57% | 32/56 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 10/17 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 86% | 37/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 77% | 33/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alexandrova 2, Swiatek 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alexandrova
🤖 Servebot
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Iga Swiatek.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Sep 21, 2025
Korea Open - Seoul
H Hard · Final
Sep 1, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Jun 26, 2025
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Mar 25, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 4th Round
Feb 14, 2024
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 1, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 4th Round
Oct 8, 2022
Ostrava Open - Ostrava
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 3, 2021
Gippsland Trophy - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alexandrova | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Iga Swiatek | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 77% | 13/17 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 15–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.51 | 1.22 |
| ROI % | +37.6% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | +5.26u | +0.24u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU → CZE | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Alexandrova's 20%).
| Opponent | Alexandrova | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Mirra Andreeva | L 67 67 | L 63 46 36 |
| Iva Jovic | L 36 63 46 | W 61 63 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 36 64 63 | W 62 61 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 36 26 | W 36 61 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 46 | W |
| Sara Bejlek | L 64 16 26 | W 60 63 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 63 06 36 | W 63 16 63 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | L 67 26 |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 16 36 | W 61 63 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 26 26 | W 62 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Leylah Fernandez
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Linda Noskova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Diana Shnaider
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Marta Kostyuk
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Kimberly Birrell
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mccartney Kessler
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Iva Jovic
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Donna Vekic
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Xinyu Gao
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Marie Bouzkova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Nadia Podoroska
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Xiyu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–58 matches
| Metric | Alexandrova | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 72% |
| Sets won | 49% | 70% |
| Games won | 50% | 60% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alexandrova | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 3 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alexandrova | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 4 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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