Dusan Lajovic vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dusan Lajovic and Sebastian Baez have met 4 times since 2022; Sebastian Baez leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Baez leads 3–1. Baez has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Lajovic has taken 4 sets to Baez's 8. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at Hamburg Open - Hamburg (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lajovic | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dusan Lajovic | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 20/30 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 10/27 | 22% | 6/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 20/57 | 23% | 14/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 13/27 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 19/28 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 13/25 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 83% | 29/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 20/31 | 74% | 26/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lajovic 0, Baez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lajovic
🎯 Baseliner
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 218 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 17, 2024
Hamburg Open - Hamburg
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 11, 2024
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 14, 2023
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · 1st Round
May 23, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Lajovic | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dusan Lajovic | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 65% | 13/20 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 30% | 6/20 |
| 5 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 15% | 3/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lajovic | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | 9–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.40 |
| ROI % | +16.8% | -11.4% |
| Units P/L | +2.51u | -2.05u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lajovic | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,479 mi · 2,381 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | ESP → POL | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Lajovic's 22%).
| Opponent | Lajovic | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Chak Pong Marco Lam | L 46 36 | W 64 60 |
| Lloyd Harris | W 06 63 64 | W 64 64 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 67 46 | W 75 63 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 06 36 | L 36 16 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 36 26 | W 76 26 64 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 46 36 | W 46 75 64 |
| Vilius Gaubas | L 63 46 63 36 46 | L 57 16 |
| Alex Molcan | W 76 64 | W 64 62 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 64 57 46 | W 76 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diego Dedura
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Seville Challenger · Final
Sep 13
Max Alcala Gurri
Seville Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Henrique Rocha
Seville Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Calvin Hemery
Seville Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Martin Landaluce
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Chak Pong Marco Lam
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
David Jorda Sanchis
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Marcos Giron
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 23
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–66 matches
| Metric | Lajovic | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 53% |
| Sets won | 51% | 52% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lajovic | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lajovic | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.