Dominic Thiem vs Novak DjokovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dominic Thiem and Novak Djokovic have met 11 times since 2016; Novak Djokovic leads 6–5. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Miami in 2016 on hard. On clay courts they are level 3–3. On hard courts Djokovic leads 3–2. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Djokovic leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Thiem has taken 15 sets to Djokovic's 19. Their most recent meeting: Dominic Thiem won at Nitto ATP Finals (2020).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Thiem | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dominic Thiem | Novak Djokovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 50% | 5/10 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 75% | 3/4 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 57% | 8/14 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 36% | 5/14 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | — | ||
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 75% | 3/4 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 70% | 7/10 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 50% | 5/10 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Thiem 0, Djokovic 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Thiem
🎯 Baseliner
Djokovic
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
11 career meetings, newest first
Nov 18, 2020
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 2, 2020
Australian Open
H Hard · Final
Nov 12, 2019
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Jun 6, 2019
Roland Garros
C Clay · Semifinals
May 10, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Semifinals
Apr 12, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 16
Jun 6, 2017
Roland Garros
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 18, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Semifinals
Nov 6, 2016
ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Jun 2, 2016
Roland Garros
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 29, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Thiem | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.71 |
| ROI % | - | -12.4% |
| Units P/L | - | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Thiem | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luciano Darderi
Vienna · Round of 32
Oct 22
Ben Shelton
US Open · Round of 128
Aug 26
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Kitzbuhel · Round of 32
Jul 23
Juan Pablo Varillas
Gstaad · Round of 32
Jul 15
Gael Monfils
Mallorca · Round of 32
Jun 24
Otto Virtanen
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 22
Franco Agamenone
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 20
Thanasi Kokkinakis
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 23
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Arthur Rinderknech
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Yibing Wu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–31 matches
| Metric | Thiem | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 74% |
| Sets won | - | 65% |
| Games won | - | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Thiem | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 2 | 2 |
| Other | 2 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Thiem | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
| Clay | 3 | 3 |
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