Dominic Thiem vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dominic Thiem and Lorenzo Sonego have met 4 times since 2019; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Kitzbuhel in 2019 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Thiem has taken 5 sets to Sonego's 5. Their most recent meeting: Dominic Thiem won at ATP Masters 1000 Paris (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Thiem | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dominic Thiem | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 63% | 10/16 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 38% | 8/21 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 38% | 14/37 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 44% | 8/18 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 47% | 9/19 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 50% | 8/16 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 68% | 13/19 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 53% | 10/19 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Thiem 1, Sonego 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Thiem
💥 Big Hitter
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 28, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 23, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
May 13, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Aug 2, 2019
Kitzbuhel
C Clay · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Thiem | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 4–8 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.57 |
| ROI % | - | -42.4% |
| Units P/L | - | -5.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Thiem | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km |
| Route | — | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luciano Darderi
Erste Bank Open - Vienna · 1st Round
Oct 22
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 26
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 23
Juan Pablo Varillas
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 15
Gael Monfils
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 24
Otto Virtanen
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 22
Franco Agamenone
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 20
Thanasi Kokkinakis
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 23
Aziz Dougaz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Kamil Majchrzak
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
James Duckworth
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–45 matches
| Metric | Thiem | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 44% |
| Sets won | - | 46% |
| Games won | - | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Thiem | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Thiem | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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