Smashrssmashrs.

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

Head-to-Head

Diana Shnaider vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Diana Shnaider

🇷🇺Diana Shnaider

#13 · 22 yrs · Left-Handed

1–3

4 meetings · sets 4–7

Madison Keys

🇺🇸Madison Keys

#20 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed

6w

Diana Shnaider and Madison Keys have met 4 times since 2024; Madison Keys leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Keys leads 2–0. Across all meetings Shnaider has taken 4 sets to Keys's 7. Their most recent meeting: Diana Shnaider won at French Open - Paris (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorShnaiderKeys
Wins in straight sets70%74%
Wins a set when losing41%56%
Goes to a deciding set35%36%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite58%57%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog41%38%
Tiebreak sets won47%46%
Wins after taking set 187%81%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 177%78%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shnaider 0, Keys 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Shnaider

🏹 Frontrunner

Fast startsAggressive openersMomentum-drivenStrong holds
vs

Keys

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

4 career meetings, newest first

Jun 1, 2026

French Open - Paris

C Clay · 4th Round

63
36
60
Shnaider

Jan 8, 2026

Brisbane International - Brisbane

H Hard · 3rd Round

765
657
647
Keys

Jun 13, 2025

LTA London Championships - London

G Grass · Quarterfinals

62
36
46
Keys

Mar 21, 2024

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 2nd Round

26
46
Keys

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeShnaiderKeys
1 or more87%100%
3 or more20%70%
5 or more7%50%
10 or more0%20%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricShnaiderKeys
W-L10–56–4
Avg odds1.981.40
ROI %+9.0%-24.8%
Units P/L+1.35u-2.48u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricShnaiderKeys
Countries1—
Events1—
Matches2—
Distance0 mi · 0 km—
RouteROU—

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Shnaider has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Keys's 70%).

OpponentShnaiderKeys
Karolina Pliskova
W
61
76
W
63
63
Daria Snigur
W
60
64
W
46
63
63
Katerina Siniakova
W
61
26
75
W
61
63
Tatjana Maria
W
62
75
W
75
64
Iga Swiatek
L
26
16
L
16
26
Jessica Pegula
W
63
63
L
67
67
Liudmila Samsonova
W
63
64
L
63
46
46
Mccartney Kessler
W
76
61
W
63
61
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
W
36
75
61
W
60
61
Talia Gibson
W
57
61
61
W
64
64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Shnaider
LWLWWLWW
L

Ekaterina Alexandrova

China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round

63
46
36

Oct 4

W

Janice Tjen

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

60
64

Oct 2

L

Taylor Townsend

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

26
763
36

Sep 4

W

Karolina Pliskova

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

61
764

Sep 2

W

Daria Snigur

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

60
64

Aug 31

L

Elena Rybakina

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

46
46

Aug 20

W

Maja Chwalinska

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

62
763

Aug 17

W

Tatjana Maria

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

62
75

Aug 15

Keys
LWWLWWWL
L

Qinwen Zheng

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

61
637
57

Sep 5

W

Anna Bondar

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

57
64
765

Sep 3

W

Alina Korneeva

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

75
64

Sep 1

L

Sara Bejlek

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

63
46
657

Aug 21

W

Xiyu Wang

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

763
64

Aug 20

W

Katerina Siniakova

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

61
63

Aug 18

W

Daria Snigur

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

46
63
63

Aug 16

L

Marta Kostyuk

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

36
16

Aug 7

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ ShnaiderKeys ahead↓ Keys

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–55 matches

MetricShnaiderKeys
Matches won60%68%
Sets won58%65%
Games won54%56%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageShnaiderKeys
Grand Slam10
WTA 50002
WTA 100001

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceShnaiderKeys
Hard02
Clay10
Grass01

Share this matchup

Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.

Diana Shnaider vs Madison Keys FAQ

Madison Keys leads the head-to-head 3–1 over 4 meetings.