Head-to-Head

Diana Shnaider vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇷🇺Diana Shnaider

#16 · 22 yrs · Left-Handed

1–3

4 meetings · sets 4–7

🇺🇸Madison Keys

#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed

Diana Shnaider and Madison Keys have met 4 times since 2024; Madison Keys leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Keys leads 2–0. Across all meetings Shnaider has taken 4 sets to Keys's 7. Their most recent meeting: Diana Shnaider won at French Open - Paris (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	Shnaider	Keys
Indicator	Diana Shnaider		Madison Keys
Wins in straight sets	65%	20/31	75%	24/32
Wins a set when losing	30%	7/23	53%	8/15
Goes to a deciding set	33%	18/54	34%	16/47
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	53%	19/36	59%	22/37
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	39%	7/18	38%	3/8
Tiebreak sets won	40%	6/15	45%	5/11
Wins after taking set 1	88%	23/26	83%	25/30
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	77%	20/26	80%	24/30

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shnaider 0, Keys 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Shnaider

🏹 Frontrunner

Fast startsAggressive openersMomentum-drivenStrong holds

Keys

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

4 career meetings, newest first

Jun 1, 2026

French Open - Paris

C Clay · 4th Round

Shnaider

Jan 8, 2026

Brisbane International - Brisbane

H Hard · 3rd Round

76⁵

6⁵7

6⁴7

Keys

Jun 13, 2025

LTA London Championships - London

G Grass · Quarterfinals

Keys

Mar 21, 2024

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 2nd Round

Keys

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

Outcome	Shnaider	Keys
Outcome	Diana Shnaider		Madison Keys
1 or more	88%	15/17	100%	19/19
3 or more	6%	1/17	68%	13/19
5 or more	0%	0/17	37%	7/19
10 or more	0%	0/17	16%	3/19
15 or more	0%	0/17	0%	0/19
20 or more	0%	0/17	0%	0/19

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Shnaider	Keys
W-L	10–7	13–6
Avg odds	2.34	1.44
ROI %	+36.8%	-10.3%
Units P/L	+6.25u	-1.95u

Travel

Last 30 days

Metric	Shnaider	Keys
Countries	3	2
Events	3	2
Matches	10	6
Distance	761 mi · 1,225 km	411 mi · 662 km
Route	AUT → CAN → POL	CAN → POL

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Shnaider has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Keys's 70%).

Opponent	Shnaider	Keys
Xiyu Wang	W 75 63	W 76 64
Katerina Siniakova	W 61 26 75	W 61 63
Tatjana Maria	W 62 75	W 75 64
Iga Swiatek	L 26 16	L 16 26
Jessica Pegula	W 63 63	L 67 67
Liudmila Samsonova	W 63 64	L 63 46 46
Mccartney Kessler	W 76 61	W 63 61
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	W 36 75 61	W 60 61
Talia Gibson	W 57 61 61	W 64 64
Karolina Muchova	W 26 61 62	W 64 75

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Shnaider

LWWLWWWL

Elena Rybakina

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

Aug 20

Maja Chwalinska

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

76³

Aug 17

Tatjana Maria

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

Aug 15

Iga Swiatek

National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals

Aug 11

Jessica Pegula

National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round

Aug 8

Anna Kalinskaya

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

Aug 6

Rebecca Sramkova

National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round

Aug 4

Jessica Pegula

Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals

Aug 1

Keys

LWWWLWLL

Sara Bejlek

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

6⁵7

Aug 21

Xiyu Wang

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

76³

Aug 20

Katerina Siniakova

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

Aug 18

Daria Snigur

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

Aug 16

Marta Kostyuk

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

Aug 7

Antonia Ruzic

National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round

Aug 4

Liudmila Samsonova

Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round

Jul 28

Linda Noskova

Wimbledon - London · 4th Round

6²7

Jul 6

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ ShnaiderKeys ahead↓ Keys

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–54 matches

Metric	Shnaider	Keys
Matches won	57%	68%
Sets won	55%	65%
Games won	53%	56%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

Stage	Shnaider	Keys
Grand Slam	1	0
WTA 500	0	2
WTA 1000	0	1

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

Surface	Shnaider	Keys
Hard	0	2
Clay	1	0
Grass	0	1

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Diana Shnaider vs Madison Keys FAQ

Madison Keys leads the head-to-head 3–1 over 4 meetings.

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Style Matchup

Previous meetings

Prop Research

Player ROI

Travel

Common opponents

Recent Form

Rivalry momentum

Win rate

Record by tier

By surface

More Shnaider rivalries

More Keys rivalries

Diana Shnaider vs Madison Keys FAQ

Who leads the Diana Shnaider vs Madison Keys head-to-head?

Who won the last Diana Shnaider vs Madison Keys match?

How many times have Diana Shnaider and Madison Keys played?

Who leads the Diana Shnaider vs Madison Keys head-to-head on hard courts?

When did Diana Shnaider and Madison Keys last play each other?